This article was first published on The Bit Journal.
December 23 trading has the look of a quiet street with a storm drain that is starting to gurgle. The broader market has been soft, with total capitalization near $3.07T and sentiment still stuck in extreme fear territory (the index read 24). In the derivatives layer, liquidations rose to $222M and total open interest climbed to about $129B, a mix that often shows traders leaning on leverage even while spot chops sideways.
The calendar is doing some of the heavy lifting, too. Traders are bracing for a large year-end options settlement on Dec. 26, and that kind of event can pull price toward popular strikes and then release it once hedges come off. One clean macro pressure point is Japan: the Bank of Japan recently lifted its policy rate to around 0.75%, a shift that can tighten global liquidity at the margin when markets are already thin.
For this window, the market’s “key indicators” are less about fancy jargon and more about readable signals: support and resistance (where buyers and sellers keep showing up), RSI (whether momentum is stretched), and derivatives positioning (open interest, put-call balance, and “max pain,” the zone where many options lose value).
Analysts speaking this month have highlighted the same theme: year-end positioning and cross-asset risk can dictate the short-term tape. “In my opinion, the December 26 Deribit expiry is the bigger event to watch,” Derek Lim said, pointing to how concentrated positioning can matter more than typical calendar noise. This crypto price prediction is built around that reality: range-first, then a volatility burst if settlement flows force hands.
Bitcoin traded around $87,659 with a market cap near $1.75T at the time of writing. The near-term story is simple: bulls want clean holds above the mid-$80,000s, while sellers defend rallies toward the low-$90,000s. With open interest rising into a major expiry window, spot can look sleepy right until hedging flips direction.
For Bitcoin, the crypto price prediction leans toward a contained range into settlement, followed by faster swings once that pressure valve releases. Tim Sun added that when big derivatives events hit, institutions often manage liquidity across markets, meaning crypto can get tugged by broader risk appetite even without a “crypto-only” headline.
Ethereum changed hands near $2,974 with a market cap of around $358.93B. The $3,000 area has been acting like a stubborn ceiling, not because it is magical, but because round numbers attract positioning and short-term decision-making.
A steady RSI near neutral across the broader market suggests momentum is not stretched, which often means price needs a catalyst to break out rather than drifting there on its own. The crypto price prediction for Ethereum is a grind: buyers likely defend dips toward the high-$2,800s to low-$2,900s, while sustained closes above $3,070 to $3,100 would be the first sign that the market is ready to re-risk after expiry.
Sui was near $1.43 with a market cap of around $5.36B. Smaller caps often feel “fine” until they do not, because liquidity can vanish faster and exaggerate moves. Here, traders will watch whether $1.40 holds as a practical floor, since repeated tests can either strengthen support or wear it down. The crypto price prediction for Sui stays conservative: choppy trade between $1.35 and $1.55 is the base case, with a sharper dip risk if the broader market’s post-expiry move is downside.
Chainlink traded around $12.37 with a market cap of nearly $8.75B. LINK often behaves like a “quality beta” coin, meaning it can hold up better than the no-name tail, but it still tends to follow the market’s risk-on or risk-off tone. The crypto price prediction for Chainlink is a range biased slightly upward if Bitcoin stabilizes: support sits near $12.00 to $12.20, while a cleaner breakout case starts above $12.90 to $13.20 on convincing volume.
The table below sums up this crypto price prediction into tradable zones for the next few sessions, assuming holiday liquidity and the Dec. 26 settlement keep volatility jumpy.
| Asset | Spot (Dec 23) | Support | Resistance | Short-term range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $87,659 | $86,000 | $90,500 | $86,000–$90,500 |
| ETH | $2,974 | $2,930 | $3,070 | $2,930–$3,070 |
| SUI | $1.43 | $1.40 | $1.52 | $1.40–$1.52 |
| LINK | $12.37 | $12.20 | $12.90 | $12.20–$12.90 |
This week is shaped by positioning and thin liquidity, not just headlines. One derivatives venue even framed it with a wink, posting:
If support zones hold, the path of least resistance is sideways-to-up after settlement. If they fail, the market can slide quickly because leverage has already been leaning in. As always, a crypto price prediction is a probability map, not a promise, and the market has a habit of humbling anyone who treats it like a calendar appointment.
What makes a crypto price prediction more reliable? It becomes more useful when it blends spot levels with positioning data like open interest and options concentration, because those factors can explain sudden moves that charts alone miss.
Why do options expiries affect crypto prices? Large expiries can change hedging behavior, pulling price toward key strikes before settlement and then increasing volatility once those hedges unwind.
Is “extreme fear” automatically bullish? Not automatically, but it can signal that sellers may be crowded. The index at 24 shows anxiety is still dominant, which can create sharp bounces as well as sharp drops.
Support: A price zone where buyers have repeatedly stepped in, slowing or stopping declines.
Resistance: A price zone where sellers tend to appear, capping rallies.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A momentum gauge that helps show whether price action is stretched; readings near the middle often suggest consolidation.
Open interest: The total value of outstanding derivative contracts; rising open interest can amplify moves if positions are forced to close.
Max pain: A commonly watched options level where many contracts would expire worthless, sometimes acting like a short-term “magnet” into expiry.
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