DOT Price Prediction: Polkadot Targets $2.48 Resistance Test by End of January 2026

Darius Baruo
Jan 21, 2026 16:29

Polkadot trades at $1.95 with neutral RSI at 43.81. Technical analysis points to $2.48 resistance target by month-end, while analysts project $2.48-$3.30 breakout potential.

DOT Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $2.04
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.48-$3.30 range
• Bullish breakout level: $2.48
• Critical support: $1.84

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Polkadot

Recent analyst predictions show cautious optimism for Polkadot’s price trajectory. According to Jessie A Ellis’s January 14 analysis, “DOT Price Prediction: Targets $2.48 Resistance Test by End of January.” This target was echoed by Alvin Lang on January 16, who projected “Polkadot Targets $2.48 Resistance by End of January 2026.”

The most bullish recent forecast came from Iris Coleman on January 18, predicting “Polkadot Targets $2.48-$3.30 Breakout by End of January 2026,” suggesting potential upside beyond the initial resistance level.

While specific KOL predictions from major analysts are limited, on-chain data from platforms like CryptoQuant and Glassnode indicates mixed momentum signals that align with these analyst projections.

DOT Technical Analysis Breakdown

Polkadot currently trades at $1.95, showing modest gains of 0.88% in the past 24 hours within a trading range of $1.88-$1.98. The technical picture presents a neutral to slightly bearish setup that requires careful analysis.

The RSI reading of 43.81 places DOT in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, providing room for movement in either direction. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 suggests bearish momentum, while the MACD line (-0.0041) remains below its signal line, indicating potential downward pressure.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals DOT trading near the lower band support at $1.93, with a %B position of 0.0424. This positioning suggests the token is approaching oversold conditions and could see a bounce toward the middle band at $2.11.

Moving averages paint a mixed picture. While DOT trades below most short-term averages (SMA 7: $2.05, SMA 20: $2.11), it remains above the 50-period SMA at $2.01, indicating underlying support. However, the significant gap to the 200-period SMA at $3.19 highlights the longer-term bearish trend.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The immediate resistance at $1.99 represents the first hurdle for any upward movement. A break above this level could propel DOT toward the strong resistance at $2.04, aligning with the SMA 7 level.

Sustained buying pressure could then target the $2.48 resistance level identified by multiple analysts, representing a potential 27% gain from current levels. A successful break of $2.48 would open the door to the $3.30 target suggested by Coleman’s analysis, offering upside potential of nearly 70%.

Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 50, MACD turning positive, and volume expansion above the 24-hour average of $9.6 million.

Bearish Scenario

On the downside, immediate support lies at $1.89, followed by strong support at $1.84. A break below these levels could trigger further selling pressure, potentially targeting the psychological $1.50 level.

The bearish MACD momentum and position near the lower Bollinger Band suggest vulnerability to downward moves, particularly if Bitcoin and broader crypto markets face headwinds.

Risk factors include the significant distance from the 200-day moving average and the overall crypto market sentiment, which remains sensitive to regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors.

Should You Buy DOT? Entry Strategy

For traders considering DOT positions, the current price near $1.95 offers a reasonable entry point given the proximity to technical support levels. Conservative buyers might wait for a pullback to the $1.84-$1.89 support zone for better risk-reward ratios.

A stop-loss below $1.80 would provide protection against major downside moves while allowing room for normal price fluctuations. The daily ATR of $0.13 suggests setting stops at least 15-20 cents below entry points to avoid premature exits.

Position sizing should account for Polkadot’s inherent volatility, with risk management being paramount given the mixed technical signals and uncertain broader market conditions.

Conclusion

This DOT price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for Polkadot through the end of January 2026. The consensus analyst target of $2.48 appears technically achievable, representing a 27% upside from current levels. However, the neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum indicate the path higher may not be straightforward.

The Polkadot forecast depends largely on broader crypto market sentiment and DOT’s ability to break above immediate resistance levels. While the potential for a move to $3.30 exists in the most bullish scenario, investors should prepare for volatility and maintain appropriate risk management strategies.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.

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