XRP Price Under $1? Bearish Chart Signals More Downside

• XRP price has dropped nearly 60% since the October 2025 crash, remaining in bearish territory.
• CasiTrades identifies $1.05 and $0.87 as major downside support zones for XRP correction.
• $1,000 XRP would require an unrealistic $60 trillion market capitalization, far beyond global asset values.

XRP’s price has pulled back nearly 60% since the October 2025 crash, sitting at approximately $1.31 as of today. The slide places the Ripple-native token firmly within a technical bear market,

On the hourly chart, XRP is forming a bearish structure, which crypto analyst CasiTrades says could push the token below the $1 level.

XRP Price Stalls Despite Ripple Treasury Expansion

XRP price has stayed flat even after Ripple launched a unified treasury system combining fiat and digital assets, including RLUSD. The platform connects with over 13,000 global banks and integrates on-chain liquidity tools.

This rollout is part of Ripple’s broader strategy following its $1.2 billion acquisition of G-Treasury, later rebranded as Ripple Prime. The system is designed to support corporate treasury operations for major companies, including Volvo Cars, Goodyear, Rubix, and Canadian Tire.

However, institutional demand for XRP itself has not picked up. Soso value data shows spot XRP ETFs recorded over $30 million in outflows in March. Total assets held by these funds have dropped to about $916 million, signaling cooling investor interest.

Spot market activity has also weakened. Daily trading volume has fallen to roughly $1.9 billion, compared to periods where XRP regularly recorded more than $10 billion in daily volume.

CasiTrades warns: $0.87 macro support in sight

Crypto analyst CasiTrades, who has been tracking XRP’s descending channel for months, laid out a detailed bearish roadmap that has since gained significant traction in the community. According to the analysis, XRP has broken below the critical $1.31 support level, confirming the descending channel’s bearish structure with a completed lower high near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.

The breakdown now points toward the $1.09 zone as the next major area of support, which aligns with the macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. This zone is expected to complete subwave three of the broader corrective decline.

After reaching this support area, a short-term relief bounce is expected. However, the recovery may remain limited before another leg down. The chart projects a final move toward the $0.87 macro support near the 0.854 retracement, which would complete the broader corrective structure.

Despite strong community hype, XRP price continues to trade below $1000. This is because the numbers required for extreme price targets are unrealistic. With about 61.4 billion XRP in circulation, the current market cap sits near $81 billion. 

For XRP to reach $1,000, its market cap would need to surge to roughly $61.4 trillion (61.4B × $1,000). If the full 100 billion supply is considered, that valuation jumps to $100 trillion.

To put this in perspective, the entire crypto market is worth only a $2.31 trillion, while gold’s market cap is around $13 trillion. Even global GDP is roughly $100 trillion. This means XRP alone would need to rival or exceed the value of all major global assets combined.

Because of this massive valuation requirement, analysts argue that while XRP can rise with adoption, a $1,000 target remains mathematically unrealistic under current supply conditions.

Related: XRP Price Prediction: Bulls Eye $1.50 Breakout as Range Holds

XRP Price Analysis: Why XRP Is Trading Under $1000 Despite Community Hype