XLM Price Prediction: Stellar Targets $0.18-$0.20 Recovery by March 2026

Zach Anderson Feb 21, 2026 05:37

Technical analysis suggests XLM could bounce from oversold levels toward $0.18-$0.20 resistance within 4-6 weeks as Stellar approaches key support at $0.15.

XLM Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.17 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.18-$0.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.20 • Critical support: $0.15

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar

Recent technical analysis from cryptocurrency researchers provides insight into Stellar's potential trajectory. According to Caroline Bishop's February 20th analysis, "Stellar (XLM) trades at oversold levels with RSI at 37.42. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce toward $0.18-$0.20 resistance zone as XLM approaches key support levels."

This sentiment aligns with Timothy Morano's February 18th assessment, which noted that "XLM trades near oversold levels at $0.17 with neutral RSI at 42.95. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce toward $0.18-$0.20 resistance zone within 4-6 weeks as Stellar approaches key support."

Both analysts converge on the $0.18-$0.20 target range, suggesting this level represents a significant technical milestone for the XLM price prediction.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown

Stellar's current technical profile presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup. Trading at $0.162, XLM sits near the middle of its Bollinger Bands with a %B position of 0.44, indicating neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions.

The RSI reading of 40.22 places Stellar in neutral territory, having recovered from more deeply oversold levels mentioned in recent analyst reports. This RSI positioning suggests room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns affecting the Stellar forecast.

MACD indicators show bearish momentum with the histogram at 0.0000, but this flat reading could signal a potential momentum shift if buying pressure emerges. The convergence of the MACD line (-0.0088) and signal line (-0.0088) indicates indecision in the current trend.

Key resistance emerges at $0.17, representing both the immediate ceiling and the 24-hour high. The strong resistance level also sits at $0.17, making this a critical breakout point for any bullish XLM price prediction to materialize.

Support structure shows immediate support at $0.16, aligning with the current pivot point and the lower Bollinger Band at $0.15, which represents strong support for Stellar.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The optimistic Stellar forecast targets the $0.18-$0.20 range within 4-6 weeks, representing potential gains of 12-25% from current levels. This scenario requires XLM to break above the immediate resistance at $0.17 with sustained volume.

Technical confirmation for this bullish XLM price prediction would include RSI pushing above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and daily closing prices above $0.17. The 50-day SMA at $0.20 represents a natural target that aligns with analyst expectations.

A successful breakout above $0.20 could extend the rally toward the 50-day moving average resistance, though this would require broader market support and increased adoption metrics for Stellar's blockchain network.

Bearish Scenario

Downside risks center around the critical support at $0.15, representing the lower Bollinger Band. A breakdown below this level could target deeper support zones, though specific lower levels aren't clearly defined in current technical data.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, continued bearish MACD momentum, and failure to reclaim the $0.17 resistance level. The significant gap between the current price and the 200-day SMA at $0.29 illustrates the longer-term technical damage that needs repair.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy

Current technical levels suggest a measured approach to Stellar positioning. The immediate support at $0.16 provides a logical entry point for those seeking exposure to the anticipated bounce toward $0.18-$0.20.

Conservative traders might wait for a confirmed break above $0.17 resistance before initiating positions, while aggressive buyers could accumulate near the $0.15 strong support level. Stop-loss placement below $0.15 would limit downside risk while allowing room for normal price fluctuation.

Given the 24-hour trading volume of $5.66 million on Binance, liquidity appears adequate for position management, though larger positions should consider market impact.

Conclusion

The XLM price prediction points toward a potential recovery rally in the coming weeks, with technical analysis supporting the $0.18-$0.20 target range. Current oversold conditions and analyst consensus suggest Stellar may be positioning for a meaningful bounce from support levels.

However, success depends on broader market conditions and XLM's ability to break above immediate resistance at $0.17. The neutral RSI and compressed volatility (ATR of $0.01) suggest a breakout may be approaching, making this a critical juncture for the Stellar forecast.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

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