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Federal Reserve holds policy steady as Iran war adds to growth and inflation concerns

2026/03/19 01:59
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Federal Reserve holds policy steady as Iran war adds to growth and inflation concerns

Bitcoin remained sharply lower for the session following the expected decision by the U.S. central bank.

By James Van Straten|Edited by Stephen Alpher
Updated Mar 18, 2026, 6:12 p.m. Published Mar 18, 2026, 5:59 p.m.
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What to know:

  • As expected, the Federal Reserve left its benchmark fed funds rate range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%.
  • Bitcoin remained sharply lower on the session, trading at $71,600.
  • Chairman Jerome Powell's post-meeting press conference begins at 2:30 PM ET.

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark fed funds rate range steady at 3.50%-3.75% on Wednesday, as expected.

Down nearly 4% ahead of the anticipated decision following a surge in oil prices and poor inflation data earlier on Wednesday, bitcoin remained sharply lower at $71,600 in the moments following the news.

U.S. stocks remain lower for the day, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 each down by 0.55%. The 10-year Treasury yield remains higher by a tick at 4.21%.

"The implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain," said the central bank in its accompanying statement.

The vote to hold policy steady was 11-1, with Stephen Miran voting to trim rates by 25 basis points.

The Fed also updated its economic projections. Of particular note was a sizable rise in inflation expectations — now seen at 2.7% for 2026 versus 2.4% previously. Inflation, however, is expected to drop to 2.2% in 2027 against 2.1% projected earlier.

The so-called "dot plot" continues to show expectations for one 25-basis-point rate cut in 2026 and one more in 2027.

The U.S. central bank must balance what appears to be a slowing employment market with inflation that remains well above its 2% target. Adding to that is the March attack against Iran, which has sent the price of oil to nearly $100 per barrel versus less than $60 earlier this year.

Investors will now turn their attention to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference at 2:30 pm ET for further insight into the central bank’s outlook.

Bitcoin NewsFederal Open Market Committee (FOMC)Breaking News

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The era of cheap money is over as the Iran war creates a permanent 'inflation floor'

The Iran war is creating a permanent inflation floor that could end the era of cheap money and expose the fragility of global energy markets.

What to know:

  • The Iran war has exposed the fragility of global energy markets, raising the risk that oil shocks and supply disruptions will keep inflation structurally higher for years.
  • As countries pivot toward energy security and self-reliance, experts warn of de-globalized energy markets, higher costs, slower innovation and the use of energy as a geopolitical weapon.
  • Persistently higher inflation could limit central banks' ability to cut rates and inject liquidity, capping returns and increasing volatility across stocks, bonds, crypto and other assets.
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