Tesla Stock Gets Mixed Ratings, $402 Average Target

TLDR

• UBS upgraded Tesla to Neutral and set a $352 price target on April 14.
• Wall Street analysts set an average 12-month price target of $402.29 for Tesla stock.
• UBS said Tesla stock reflects near-term demand pressure and long-term artificial intelligence opportunities.
• Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal Weight rating with a $415 price target.
• JPMorgan kept a Sell rating and set a $145 target, warning of valuation risks.

UBS raised its rating on Tesla to “Neutral” and set a $352 price target on April 14. The bank said Tesla stock reflects near-term pressure and long-term artificial intelligence prospects. Analysts across Wall Street now project a 12-month average target of $402.29.

Tesla Stock Outlook Balances Valuation and AI Ambitions

UBS analyst Joseph Spak said Tesla stock trades on sentiment and momentum rather than fundamentals. He wrote, “We are Neutral-rated on TSLA,” and cited demand challenges and elevated investments. He added that the company holds a large long-term opportunity in physical artificial intelligence.

Tesla, Inc., TSLA

Spak said softer electric vehicle demand and rising capital spending weighed on shares. He also cited a 1Q26 energy shortfall and slower robo-taxi and Optimus progress. However, he said UBS expects eventual advances and still views Tesla as “a leader in physical AI.”

UBS estimates Tesla stock price at $2.33 earnings per share for 2027. The bank forecasts $2.35, while the consensus stands near $2.47. Spak said valuation levels align closely with UBS expectations.

The bank also flagged record-low U.S. Cybertruck sales as a headwind. It pointed to higher costs and investment requirements across business segments. However, Tesla reported strong vehicle registration growth in Germany during March and the first quarter.

Analysts Set Varied Price Targets for the Next Year

Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco maintained an “Equal Weight” rating with a $415 target. He cited Tesla’s expanding data advantage and said unsupervised autonomy progress remains essential. He stated that clearer autonomy milestones must support valuation levels.

JPMorgan Chase analyst Ryan Brinkman kept a “Sell” rating and set a $145 target. He warned that shares could fall as much as 60% due to valuation and execution risks. GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson also reiterated a “Sell” rating with a $25.28 target.

Deutsche Bank analysts led by Edison Yu maintained a “Buy” rating with a $465 target. They tested Tesla’s robotaxi service and described the technology as impressive. However, they said routing inefficiencies remain and expect improvements over time.

Data shows Tesla holds a “Hold” consensus rating from 30 analysts. The breakdown includes 13 “Buy,” 11 “Hold,” and 6 “Sell” recommendations. The average 12-month price target stands at $402.29, implying about 14% upside from current levels.

Targets range widely from $25.28 to $600 across brokerage firms. UBS set its price objective at $352 following the rating upgrade. Wall Street continues to publish updated projections as Tesla advances its autonomy and robotics programs.

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