Michael Burry Buys Microsoft (MSFT) Stock During 25% Decline From Peak

Key Takeaways

• Michael Burry revealed a fresh Microsoft position through his Cassandra Unchained Substack on April 23
• The purchase followed a software sector decline triggered by disappointing IBM and ServiceNow earnings guidance
• Burry dismisses concerns about AI disruption undermining traditional software companies
• Microsoft shares have declined approximately 25% from July 2025 highs and roughly 13% year-to-date
• Burry simultaneously increased stakes in Adobe, Autodesk, Veeva Systems, MSCI, and PayPal

Michael Burry has established a long position in Microsoft (MSFT), incorporating the tech giant into his expanding portfolio of discounted software investments.

Microsoft Corporation, MSFT

The investment was made public through Burry’s Cassandra Unchained Substack newsletter on April 23. While the precise stake size remains undisclosed, Burry confirmed he has “gone long on Microsoft” following what he described as “forensic” analysis of the company.

The entry point was strategic. Software equities experienced significant pressure that day following weak forward guidance from IBM and ServiceNow. Market participants interpreted the results as evidence that artificial intelligence tools are cannibalizing traditional enterprise software revenue.

Burry interpreted the situation through a different lens. He characterized the selloff as excessive and identified opportunities in what he termed “bombed out software and payment stocks.” Notably, he maintained all existing software holdings throughout the decline.

The approach reflects Burry’s contrarian investment philosophy — accumulating positions when market sentiment turns negative.

The Microsoft Investment Case

Microsoft has experienced significant valuation compression. Shares have retreated approximately 25% from the July 2025 all-time high and declined roughly 13% on a year-to-date basis. Despite an 18% rebound from recent lows preceding Burry’s announcement, the stock remains substantially below peak levels.

The current forward price-to-earnings ratio stands near 26x, representing a considerable discount to the five-year median P/E of 34x, per GuruFocus data.

For Burry, this valuation disconnect represents an attractive entry opportunity. His investment thesis centers on acquiring a proven cash-generating business trading below historical multiples, rather than speculating on AI narrative.

Microsoft’s commercial cloud operations — encompassing Azure, Office 365, and Dynamics — operate on subscription models generating predictable recurring revenue. Azure ranks among only two true hyperscale cloud infrastructure platforms globally. The corporation produces tens of billions in annual free cash flow.

Burry’s perspective is direct: the underlying business fundamentals remain intact, while current pricing reflects emotional selling rather than deteriorating economics.

Expanded Software Sector Accumulation

The Microsoft investment forms part of a broader strategic initiative. Throughout recent weeks, Burry has systematically accumulated positions across multiple software companies.

He established new positions in Adobe (ADBE), Autodesk (ADSK), and Veeva Systems (VEEV). Additionally, he expanded existing holdings in MSCI and PayPal.

His investment rationale remains consistent across these positions — artificial intelligence disruption concerns have compressed valuations of high-quality software businesses to levels that undervalue their fundamental earnings capacity.

Institutional investors have predominantly moved in the opposite direction, reducing software exposure based on concerns that AI applications will erode traditional software economics. Burry’s Substack communications center on positioning contrary to this consensus view.

Sell-side analysts maintain constructive views on Microsoft aligned with Burry’s perspective. The stock holds a consensus Strong Buy rating from 37 analysts — including 34 Buy ratings and three Hold ratings. The mean price target of $581.61 suggests potential upside of approximately 56% from current trading levels.

Burry initiated his Microsoft stake on April 23, 2026, coinciding precisely with the software sector decline following IBM and ServiceNow’s guidance announcements.

The post Michael Burry Buys Microsoft (MSFT) Stock During 25% Decline From Peak appeared first on Blockonomi.

Source: https://blockonomi.com/michael-burry-buys-microsoft-msft-stock-during-25-decline-from-peak/