Bitcoin Price Prediction: Breakout Faces First Real Test

Bitcoin is testing short-term resistance near $77,510, while the weekly chart shows a close above the Bull Market Support Band, the 2025 low, and the March high. A move above $78,280 would strengthen the recovery, but buyers still need to defend the weekly retest before the breakout gains stronger confirmation.

Bitcoin Tests First Resistance as $78,280 Level Comes Into Focus

Bitcoin is testing the first short-term resistance area near $77,510, according to the chart shared by MCO Global DE.

A break above that level would shift attention to the next key resistance near $78,280. The chart shows BTC rebounding from an intraday low, but the move still appears corrective because it has formed only a three-part structure so far.

BTC 30M Chart. Source: MCO Global DE on X

That means the market has not yet confirmed a stronger bottom in wave (B). A clean move above resistance would improve the short-term structure and could support a broader recovery attempt.

However, the downside levels remain active if BTC fails to break higher. The chart marks support near $76,579, followed by $75,910 and $74,968. These levels sit inside the first micro-support zone.

The broader setup remains cautious. Bitcoin has bounced from the lower range, but the analyst’s wave count shows that confirmation depends on whether buyers can push price above the nearby resistance zone.

Bitcoin Weekly Close Reclaims Key Support as Retest Becomes Main Test

Bitcoin closed the weekly candle above the Bull Market Support Band, the 2025 low, and the March high, according to the chart shared by Super฿ro.

The chart shows BTC moving back into a key technical area after several weeks of recovery from its March low. The weekly close above those levels gives bulls a stronger short-term structure, but the next confirmation depends on a successful retest.

BTC 1W Chart. Source: Super฿ro on X

The Bull Market Support Band now acts as the main area to watch. If BTC holds above it, the chart suggests room for a move toward the upper Bollinger Band.

However, a failed retest would weaken the breakout and put the reclaimed levels back in focus. That would show that the weekly close did not turn into confirmed support.

For now, the setup depends on follow-through. Bitcoin has reclaimed major levels on the weekly chart, but buyers still need to defend the retest before the upper Bollinger Band becomes the next active target.