Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: AVAX Holds $9 Support as ETF Inflows Rise and $10.50 Breakout Comes Into Focus

According to Brave New Coin data, AVAX is currently trading near $9.34, holding steady after a mild intraday move of around +1.17%. Price action has remained relatively tight between $9.13 and $9.33.

With AVAX sitting near historically important levels, the focus now shifts towards whether this zone acts as a long-term base or breaks down into another leg lower.

Avalanche is trading near $9.34, up 1.17% over the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

AVAX Price Structure: Holding Multi-Year Support Near $9

From a higher timeframe perspective, AVAX is sitting at what many analysts consider a major multi-year support zone, often referred to as a Point of Control (POC). The chart shared by The Moon Show highlights that price is now revisiting a high-volume region where previous accumulation has taken place.

AVAX revisits a high-volume multi-year support zone near $9. Source: The Moon Show via X

This area, around $8.5–$9.5, is critical. Historically, these zones tend to attract buyers due to heavy prior trading activity, which can act as a foundation for reversals. If this level continues to hold, it strengthens the argument that AVAX could be forming a long-term bottom structure.

However, a clean breakdown below $8.5 would invalidate this thesis and likely open the door towards deeper downside levels.

Short-Term Trend: Ascending Channel Keeps Bulls in Control

On the lower timeframe, AVAX is trading within a rising channel, showing a series of higher lows, a sign that buyers are still stepping in gradually. Trader Symba’s chart suggests that as long as AVAX holds above the channel support near $9.20–$9.30, the structure remains intact. In this case, continuation towards the upper boundary near $9.65–$9.70 becomes the next logical move.

AVAX holds a rising channel, keeping bulls in control towards $9.65–$9.70. Source: Trader Symba via X

A breakout above this range could trigger a push towards $10.20–$10.50, where stronger resistance sits. On the flip side, losing the ascending structure would be an early warning sign, potentially sending the price back towards $8.80–$9.00.

Momentum and Market Sentiment Lean Bearish in the Short Term

Despite the supportive structure, sentiment indicators are not fully aligned yet. Technical readings shared by AvaxJ indicate a “strong sell” bias from moving averages, with the majority of signals pointing towards continued caution.

Momentum remains weak despite improving structure, with indicators signaling caution and a lack of bullish confirmation. Source: AvaxJ via X

This divergence between price structure and indicators often creates choppy conditions. While price is holding up, momentum is still weak, which explains the slow grind rather than a sharp recovery. In simple terms, structure is improving, but confirmation is still missing.

ETF Inflows and Large Accumulation

Despite the current weak momentum and cautious market sentiment around AVAX, the ETF data is telling a different story. According to data shared by Nazoku, nearly $36 million has flowed into AVAX ETFs since their Nasdaq debut.

AVAX sees $36M in ETF inflows alongside large accumulation. Source: Nazoku via X

At the same time, a notable accumulation event saw 81.4K AVAX (worth around $767K) being purchased from Coinbase, reinforcing the idea that larger participants are stepping in during this low-confidence phase. This divergence between price weakness and steady inflows often points towards quiet accumulation, where smart money builds positions before broader market momentum returns.

AVAX’s Long-Term Price Prediction

From a broader cycle perspective, Crypto Patel’s analysis suggests that AVAX is currently in a clean accumulation range, with a potential long-term structure forming.

The highlighted accumulation zone sits roughly between $7 and $9, aligning closely with current price levels. If this base holds over time, the next cycle could see AVAX Price Prediction targeting significantly higher levels, with projections pointing towards $50, $100, and even $150 in an extended bullish scenario. However, these targets are still quite distant and will require multiple confirmations.

AVAX trades within a $7–$9 accumulation zone, with long-term targets extending towards $50–$150 if the base holds. Source: Crypto Patel via X

Final Thoughts

AVAX is now trading at a high-confluence zone, where multiple factors are coming together, strong historical support, early accumulation signs, rising institutional interest, and a developing short-term uptrend.

For bulls, the key remains holding above $9.00–$9.20 and breaking through $9.70–$10.50 resistance. A confirmed breakout from this range would signal a shift in momentum and open the path towards higher levels.

For bears, failure to hold this support region would likely lead to another leg lower, with $8.50 acting as the next critical level.

Overall, the structure suggests that AVAX is no longer in a free fall, it’s transitioning into a decision phase, where the next move will likely define the direction for the coming weeks.