Palantir (PLTR) Stock: What Analysts Expects from Q1 Earnings Monday

TLDR

• Palantir reports Q1 2026 earnings on Monday, May 4, after market close
• Oppenheimer initiated a Buy rating on PLTR with a $200 price target — implying 40%+ upside
• Wall Street expects EPS of $0.28, up 115% year-over-year
• Revenue is forecast at $1.54 billion, representing ~74% year-over-year growth
• PLTR holds a Moderate Buy consensus on Wall Street with an average price target of $191.74

Palantir Technologies is heading into its Q1 2026 earnings report on Monday, May 4, with a fresh vote of confidence from Oppenheimer.

Palantir Technologies Inc., PLTR

Analyst Param Singh initiated coverage on PLTR with a Buy rating and a $200 price target. That implies more than 40% upside from current levels.

Singh pointed to two main reasons for his bullish view: Palantir’s AI leadership and the deep customer lock-in built through its Ontology platform.

The platform is so embedded in client operations that switching costs are high, giving Palantir a durable competitive advantage.

Singh also flagged rising defense tech spending from the U.S. and its allies as a tailwind for the government segment.

On valuation concerns — and there are plenty — Singh argues the premium is justified given Palantir’s positioning as a leading platform for AI application deployment across both government and commercial markets.

PLTR currently trades around $138, and the average Wall Street price target of $191.74 suggests roughly 38% upside from here.

What the Numbers Look Like

Wall Street is expecting EPS of $0.28 for Q1 2026, which would be a 115% jump from the same period last year.

Revenue is projected to come in at $1.54 billion — up 73.7% year-over-year.

Breaking that down: government revenues are expected at $763.8 million, a 56.9% year-over-year increase. Commercial revenues are projected at $771.5 million, implying 94.4% growth.

That commercial figure is the one to watch. It signals how quickly Palantir is expanding beyond its government roots.

The growth is being driven by increased adoption of Palantir’s Foundry and Gotham platforms, alongside its Artificial Intelligence Platform, which helps organizations process large datasets and pull real-time insights.

Wall Street Ratings

The broader analyst community is cautiously optimistic. PLTR carries a Moderate Buy consensus based on 15 Buy ratings, five Holds, and two Sells over the past three months.

That’s not a unanimous bull case — but it does lean positive heading into the print.

Palantir currently holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), reflecting a more neutral near-term earnings outlook from that model.

The company reports after the bell on Monday, May 4.

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