Strive Asset Management (ASST) recently acquired Semler Scientific (SMLR) in an all-stock deal. This historic move has raised concerns over the valuation methods used by Bitcoin treasury firms. The acquisition gives the combined company control of more than 10,900 BTC, increasing the net asset value (NAV) per share.
In a note this week, NYDIG’s Global Head of Research, Greg Cipolaro, criticized the common use of the “mNAV” metric. Cipolaro argued that this metric, defined as market cap divided by crypto held, can be misleading. “At best, it’s misleading; at worst, it’s disingenuous,” Cipolaro said.
NYDIG explained that mNAV fails to consider a BTC treasury’s operating business or other assets. Most BTC treasury firms operate businesses that add significant value to the firm’s overall worth. This omission distorts the true financial health of these companies.
Further, NYDIG pointed out that mNAV often includes assumed shares outstanding, which may involve unconverted convertible debt. If the debt holders demand cash instead of shares, it creates a liability for the Bitcoin treasury firm. “Convertible debt is essentially volatility harvesting,” NYDIG explained, highlighting how this affects the firm’s stock.
Currently, BTC treasury firms control over 1 million BTC. Many of these firms are trading below their mNAV, which could signal upcoming acquisitions. Investors may expect further consolidation in the sector as a result.
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