A 21% margin low, then a 25.2% margin high for Verizon, one quarter apart. The dividend raise that followed tells the real story.A 21% margin low, then a 25.2% margin high for Verizon, one quarter apart. The dividend raise that followed tells the real story.

Verizon Hits 20 Years of Dividend Increases: Here’s Where Shares Could Go in 2026

2026/07/03 10:13
5 min read
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Key Takeaways for Verizon Stock’s Dividend as of July 2026

  • Operating income jumped 10% year over year in the quarter ended March 31, 2026, the sharpest gain in the two-year window Verizon’s income statement covers, a snapback from the 21.0% operating margin low hit just one quarter earlier.
  • In January, Verizon declared a $0.07 annualized dividend increase, up 2.5% from the prior annual rate, lifting the quarterly payout to $0.71 per share.
  • Twenty straight years of increases now sit behind Verizon stock, and the most recent raise landed with 4.4% year-over-year DPS growth, more than double the 1.8% pace the prior three quarters had set.
  • TIKR’s mid-case model puts a $67.75 target on Verizon stock, realized by December 31, 2030, for a 59.2% total return and a 10.9% annualized rate.

Verizon stock just posted its cleanest quarter of margin data in two years, right as the dividend raise accelerated past its own recent trend. See the full financial breakdown and dividend history on TIKR for free →

Verizon Stock’s Margin Snapback Is the Proof Point Behind the Dividend Raise

Verizon (VZ) closed the quarter ended March 31, 2026 with operating income of $8.67 billion, up 10% year over year, the fastest growth rate in the two-year stretch of quarterly data available.

verizon operating income and marginsVZ Stock Operating Income and Margins (TIKR)

That figure matters because it followed the weakest quarter in the same window: operating income fell 3% year over year in the period ended December 31, 2025, as the Frontier acquisition and a January network outage weighed on results.

The margin trend tells the same story. Operating margin compressed to 21% in the December quarter, its low point since mid-2024, then rebounded to 25% in the March quarter, the strongest margin in the series. Revenue growth moved in step, accelerating to 3% year over year after a 2% prior-quarter pace.

What’s masking the volatility is the scale of the swing. A single clean quarter doesn’t erase two years of choppier margin performance, where operating income growth ranged from a 2.3% decline to an 8.9% gain before this print.

Management raised full-year adjusted EPS growth guidance to a 5% to 6% range from 4% to 5% and reaffirmed free cash flow growth guidance of 7% or more, pointing to structural cost reductions and improved customer retention rather than a one-quarter bounce.

That combination, a margin low followed immediately by the sharpest rebound on record and an upward guidance revision in the same release, is the fundamentals case for whether the dividend raise that followed is durable or premature.

Verizon’s operating margin swung from a two-year low to a two-year high in a single quarter. See how that volatility compares to the dividend’s growth pace on TIKR for free →

Verizon Stock’s Dividend Raise Just Hit Its Fastest Pace in Two Years

Verizon declared a $0.07 annualized dividend increase in January, up 2.5% from the prior annual rate, bringing the quarterly payout to $0.71 per share. That marks the company’s 20th consecutive year of dividend increases, putting it five years out from Dividend Aristocrat status.

The raise shows up clearly in the year-over-year DPS trend. Growth ran at 1.8% to 1.9% through the three prior quarters, then jumped to 4.4% in the quarter ended March 31, 2026, more than double the trailing pace.

verizon stock dividend trajectoryVZ Stock Dividend Trajectory (TIKR)

That acceleration doesn’t hold at the same rate going forward. TIKR’s forward estimates show DPS growth cooling to 3.1% by the September and December 2026 quarters, then down to 2.3% by June 2027, with a 3.4% compound growth rate across the full forecast window.

verizon stock dividend yieldVZ Stock Dividend Yield (TIKR)

The forward dividend yield trend adds another layer. NTM yield compressed to 5.6% in the March 2026 quarter as the stock price rallied faster than the raise, then climbed back to 6.7% by July 2026 as the price gave some of that ground back.

The open question is whether the operating margin recovery just posted in March is strong enough, and repeatable enough, to keep DPS growth closer to 4% than the 2.3% the current estimates project for 2027.

TIKR’s $67.75 Target on Verizon Stock Holds if the Margin Rebound Sticks

TIKR’s mid-case model puts a $68 target on Verizon stock, realized by December 31, 2030, for a 59% total return and a 11% annualized rate against a $43 current price.

verizon stock valuation model resultsVZ Stock Valuation Model Results (TIKR)

That return profile positions Verizon stock closer to a total-return holding than a pure income play, with price appreciation doing most of the work alongside the dividend rather than yield carrying the case on its own.

The target’s reachability rests on whether the March quarter’s operating income growth and margin recovery repeat rather than reverse, since that’s the same fundamentals shift underpinning the dividend’s jump to 4.4% growth. A repeat of the December quarter’s margin compression would undercut both halves of the thesis at once.

Verizon stock’s 59% projected return leans on a margin trend that’s shown one strong quarter after one weak one. Check the full valuation model and forecast breakdown on TIKR for free →

Should You Invest in Verizon Communications Inc.?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up Verizon Communications Inc. stock and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track Verizon Communications Inc. alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

Access Professional Tools to Analyze VZ stock on TIKR for Free →

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