The post Washington and Canberra sign $8.5 billion pact to curb China’s minerals dominance appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese signed an $8.5 billion critical-minerals deal at the White House on Monday, locking in a strategic move by the United States and Australia to strengthen their control over materials used in military equipment, energy infrastructure, and semiconductors. The agreement came as both governments ramped up efforts to reduce their dependence on China, which currently dominates the supply chain of rare earths and critical metals. The announcement sent Australia’s mining stocks flying on Tuesday, with several key players posting double-digit gains. Lynas Rare Earths, the country’s biggest rare earths company by market cap, climbed 4.7% in early Asia trading. Iluka Resources, which produces mineral sands, surged more than 9%. Pilbara Minerals, focused on lithium, jumped around 5%. Smaller firms saw even bigger spikes; VHM soared 30%, Northern Minerals gained 16%, and Latrobe Magnesium, which leads Australia’s magnesium output, shot up nearly 47%. Washington puts cash behind Alcoa’s gallium plant in Western Australia One of the top priorities under the agreement is a gallium recovery project being developed by Alcoa in Western Australia. The U.S. government will take an equity stake in the facility, making it one of two focus projects under the deal. Alcoa, which is listed on the NYSE and also traded on the Australian Securities Exchange, saw its stock rally nearly 10% after the announcement. These minerals aren’t optional. They are used in electric cars, missiles, telecom gear, and other high-tech equipment. China, which produces the bulk of the world’s supply, has been tightening export controls during its ongoing trade war with Washington. This latest clampdown triggered the rush to secure alternative supply lines, with both Trump and Albanese agreeing that domestic and allied production needs to ramp up fast. Albanese said both countries will put in $1 billion each over… The post Washington and Canberra sign $8.5 billion pact to curb China’s minerals dominance appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese signed an $8.5 billion critical-minerals deal at the White House on Monday, locking in a strategic move by the United States and Australia to strengthen their control over materials used in military equipment, energy infrastructure, and semiconductors. The agreement came as both governments ramped up efforts to reduce their dependence on China, which currently dominates the supply chain of rare earths and critical metals. The announcement sent Australia’s mining stocks flying on Tuesday, with several key players posting double-digit gains. Lynas Rare Earths, the country’s biggest rare earths company by market cap, climbed 4.7% in early Asia trading. Iluka Resources, which produces mineral sands, surged more than 9%. Pilbara Minerals, focused on lithium, jumped around 5%. Smaller firms saw even bigger spikes; VHM soared 30%, Northern Minerals gained 16%, and Latrobe Magnesium, which leads Australia’s magnesium output, shot up nearly 47%. Washington puts cash behind Alcoa’s gallium plant in Western Australia One of the top priorities under the agreement is a gallium recovery project being developed by Alcoa in Western Australia. The U.S. government will take an equity stake in the facility, making it one of two focus projects under the deal. Alcoa, which is listed on the NYSE and also traded on the Australian Securities Exchange, saw its stock rally nearly 10% after the announcement. These minerals aren’t optional. They are used in electric cars, missiles, telecom gear, and other high-tech equipment. China, which produces the bulk of the world’s supply, has been tightening export controls during its ongoing trade war with Washington. This latest clampdown triggered the rush to secure alternative supply lines, with both Trump and Albanese agreeing that domestic and allied production needs to ramp up fast. Albanese said both countries will put in $1 billion each over…

Washington and Canberra sign $8.5 billion pact to curb China’s minerals dominance

For feedback or concerns regarding this content, please contact us at [email protected]

President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese signed an $8.5 billion critical-minerals deal at the White House on Monday, locking in a strategic move by the United States and Australia to strengthen their control over materials used in military equipment, energy infrastructure, and semiconductors.

The agreement came as both governments ramped up efforts to reduce their dependence on China, which currently dominates the supply chain of rare earths and critical metals.

The announcement sent Australia’s mining stocks flying on Tuesday, with several key players posting double-digit gains. Lynas Rare Earths, the country’s biggest rare earths company by market cap, climbed 4.7% in early Asia trading.

Iluka Resources, which produces mineral sands, surged more than 9%. Pilbara Minerals, focused on lithium, jumped around 5%.

Smaller firms saw even bigger spikes; VHM soared 30%, Northern Minerals gained 16%, and Latrobe Magnesium, which leads Australia’s magnesium output, shot up nearly 47%.

Washington puts cash behind Alcoa’s gallium plant in Western Australia

One of the top priorities under the agreement is a gallium recovery project being developed by Alcoa in Western Australia.

The U.S. government will take an equity stake in the facility, making it one of two focus projects under the deal. Alcoa, which is listed on the NYSE and also traded on the Australian Securities Exchange, saw its stock rally nearly 10% after the announcement.

These minerals aren’t optional. They are used in electric cars, missiles, telecom gear, and other high-tech equipment. China, which produces the bulk of the world’s supply, has been tightening export controls during its ongoing trade war with Washington.

This latest clampdown triggered the rush to secure alternative supply lines, with both Trump and Albanese agreeing that domestic and allied production needs to ramp up fast.

Albanese said both countries will put in $1 billion each over the next six months to support shovel-ready projects.

A White House fact sheet, though, later said that the actual combined investment will total more than $3 billion within that same time frame. The agreement was described as a “framework” for long-term joint mineral development.

US Export-Import Bank issues $2.2 billion to boost financing pipeline

To keep money flowing into the pipeline, the Export-Import Bank of the United States will issue seven letters of interest covering more than $2.2 billion in financing. That could unlock up to $5 billion in total project investments.

These funds are intended to fast-track mining and processing operations both in Australia and across trusted partners.

Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council, told reporters on Monday that China’s export policy created a supply chain risk that needed immediate attention.

“Australia is really, really going to be helpful in the effort to take the global economy and make it less risky, less exposed to the kind of rare earth extortion that we’re seeing from the Chinese,” Hassett said during a briefing before the Trump–Albanese meeting.

Hassett also called Australia one of the most important players in the space due to its extensive reserves and refining capacity. With Albanese were top officials overseeing resources, industry, and science, underlining how coordinated this effort is across sectors in Canberra.

But this isn’t a silver bullet. Gracelin Baskaran, director of the Critical Minerals Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the scale and speed of investment are unusual.

“The US and Australia will invest over $3bn (€2.6bn) in joint critical minerals projects within six months. That’s a somewhat unprecedented speed of capital injection,” she said.

Still, Gracelin cautioned that Australia alone won’t be able to meet all of America’s needs and that Washington must keep funding more projects at home and with other friendly governments.

Want your project in front of crypto’s top minds? Feature it in our next industry report, where data meets impact.

Source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/us-and-australia-8-5b-critical%E2%80%91minerals-deal/

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

UNI Price Prediction: Testing $4.17 Upper Band Resistance, Targets $4.50 by April 2026

UNI Price Prediction: Testing $4.17 Upper Band Resistance, Targets $4.50 by April 2026

Uniswap trades at $3.88 with neutral RSI at 51.98. Technical analysis suggests potential breakout to $4.17 upper Bollinger Band, with bullish targets reaching $
Share
BlockChain News2026/03/12 17:21
Speed, Cost, and Intelligence: How Kie.ai’s Gemini 3 Flash API Balances Performance and Budget for Developers

Speed, Cost, and Intelligence: How Kie.ai’s Gemini 3 Flash API Balances Performance and Budget for Developers

Integrating AI into applications is a balancing act between performance, cost, and intelligence. Traditionally, high-performance AI models come with steep costs
Share
Techbullion2026/03/12 16:55
Cash Flow Valuation HyperLiquid: Could $HYPE Reach $385 in Five Years?

Cash Flow Valuation HyperLiquid: Could $HYPE Reach $385 in Five Years?

Author: G3ronimo Compiled by: TechFlow HyperLiquid has grown into a mature crypto-native exchange, with the majority of its net fees programmatically distributed directly to token holders through an "Assistance Fund" (AF). This design makes $HYPE one of the few tokens capable of being valued based on cash flow. To date, most valuations of HyperLiquid have relied on traditional multiples, comparing it to established financial platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood, using EBITDA or revenue multiples as a reference. Unlike traditional corporate stocks, where management typically retains and reinvests earnings at their discretion, HyperLiquid systematically returns 93% of transaction fees directly to token holders through a support fund. This model creates predictable and quantifiable cash flows, making it well-suited for detailed discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis rather than static multiple comparisons. Our methodology begins by determining $HYPE's cost of capital. We then invert the current market price to determine the market-implied future earnings. Finally, we apply growth projections to these earnings streams and compare the resulting intrinsic value to today's market price, revealing the valuation gap between current pricing and fundamental value. Why choose discounted cash flow (DCF) over a multiple? While other valuation methods compare HyperLiquid to Coinbase and Robinhood via EBITDA multiples, these methods have the following limitations: The difference between the corporate and token structures: Coinbase and Robinhood are corporate stocks, whose capital allocation is guided by the board of directors, and profits are retained and reinvested by management; while HyperLiquid systematically returns 93% of trading fees directly to token holders through a relief fund. Direct Cash Flow: HyperLiquid's design generates predictable cash flows that are well-suited to DCF models, rather than static multiples. Growth and risk characteristics: DCFs are able to explicitly model different growth scenarios and risk adjustments, whereas multiples may not adequately capture growth and risk dynamics. Determining an appropriate discount rate To determine our cost of equity, we start with reference data from the public market and adjust for cryptocurrency-specific risks: Cost of equity (r) ≈ Risk-free rate + β × Market risk premium + Crypto/illiquidity premium Beta Analysis Based on regression analysis with the S&P 500: Robinhood (HOOD): Beta of 2.5, implied cost of equity of 15.6%; Coinbase (COIN): Beta of 2.0, implied cost of equity of 13.6%; HyperLiquid (HYPE): Beta is 1.38 and the implied cost of equity is 10.5%. At first glance, $HYPE appears to have a lower beta, and therefore a lower cost of equity than Robinhood and Coinbase. However, the R² value reveals an important limitation: HOOD: The S&P 500 explains 50% of its returns; COIN: The S&P 500 explains 34% of its return; HYPE: The S&P 500 only explains 5% of its returns. $HYPE’s low R² suggests that traditional stock market factors are insufficient to explain its price fluctuations, and crypto-native risk factors need to be considered. risk assessment Despite $HYPE’s lower beta, we still adjust its discount rate from 10.5% to 13% (which is more conservative compared to COIN’s 13.6% and HOOD’s 15.6%) for the following reasons: Lower governance risk: Direct programmatic distribution of 93% of fees reduces concerns about corporate governance. In contrast, COIN and HOOD do not return any earnings to shareholders, and their capital allocation is determined by management. Higher Market Risk: $HYPE is a crypto-native asset and is subject to additional regulatory and technological uncertainties. Liquidity considerations: Token markets are generally less liquid than established stock markets. Get the Market Implied Price (MIP) Using our 13% discount rate, we can reverse engineer the market’s implied earnings expectations at the current $HYPE token price of approximately $54: Current market expectations: 2025: Total revenue of $700 million 2026: Total revenue of $1.4 billion Terminal growth: 3% annual growth thereafter These assumptions yield an intrinsic value of approximately $54, which is consistent with current market prices. This suggests that the market is pricing in modest growth based on current fee levels. At this point we need to ask a question: Does the market-implied price (MIP) reflect future cash flows? Alternative growth scenarios @Keisan_Crypto presents an attractive 2-year and 5-year bull market scenario. Original tweet link: Click here Two-year bull market forecast According to @Keisan_Crypto’s analysis, if HyperLiquid achieves the following goals: Annualized fees: $3.6 billion Aid fund income: $3.35 billion (93% of fees) Result: HYPE's intrinsic value is $128 (140% undervalued at current price) Related links Five-year bull market scenario Under a five-year bull market scenario (link), he predicts that transaction fees will reach $10 billion annually, with $9.3 billion accruing to $HYPE. He assumes HyperLiquid's global market share will grow from its current 5% to 50% by 2030. Even if it doesn't reach 50% market share, these figures are still achievable with a smaller market share as global trading volumes continue to grow. Five-year bull market forecast Annualized fees: $10 billion Aid fund income: $9.3 billion Result: HYPE's intrinsic value is $385 (600% undervalued at current price) Related links While this valuation is lower than Keisan's $1,000 target, the difference stems from our assumption of normalized earnings growth at 3% annually thereafter, while Keisan's model uses a cash flow multiple. We believe using cash flow multiples to project long-term value is problematic, as market multiples are volatile and can vary significantly over time. Furthermore, the multiples themselves incorporate earnings growth assumptions, while using the same cash flow multiple five years from now as one or two years later implies that growth levels from 2030 onward will be consistent with those in 2026/2027. Therefore, the multiples are more appropriate for short-term asset pricing. However, regardless of which model is used, $HYPE remains undervalued; this is a subtle difference. Additional Value Driver: USDH Under the Native Market model, USDH will use 50% of its stablecoin revenue for buybacks similar to a bailout fund. As a result, $HYPE can increase its free cash flow by $100 million (50% of $200 million) annually. Looking ahead five years, if USDH's market capitalization reaches $25 billion (currently still one-third of USDC's, and an even smaller portion of the total stablecoin market five years from now), its annual revenue could reach $1 billion. Following the same 50% distribution model, this would generate an additional $500 million in free cash flow per year for the aid fund. This would value each token at over $400. Excluding Value Drivers: HIP-3 and HyperEVM This DCF analysis intentionally excludes two important potential value drivers that are not amenable to cash flow modeling. Clearly, these would provide additional incremental value and could therefore be evaluated separately using different valuation methodologies and then added to this valuation. Summarize Our DCF analysis indicates that if HyperLiquid can maintain its growth trajectory and market position, the $HYPE token is significantly undervalued. The token's unique feature of programmatic fee distribution makes it particularly suitable for cash flow-based valuation methodologies. Methodological Notes This analysis builds on research by @Keisan_Crypto and @GLC_Research. The DCF model is open source and can be modified at the following link: https://valypto.xyz/project/hyperliquid/oNQraQIg Market data and forecasts are subject to change, and models should be updated promptly based on the latest information.
Share
PANews2025/09/19 08:00