The post Crypto markets set odds of XRP hitting $4 before 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction market data from Polymarket shows traders assigning some of the lowest odds for XRP to reach the coveted $4 mark by 2026. Specifically, traders have priced in a 21% probability of XRP hitting $4 before January 2026, reflecting moderate optimism, according to data retrieved by Finbold on October 22.  The $4 target has gained traction recently, rising 4% in probability over the past few sessions. However, higher thresholds appear less convincing, only 6% expect XRP to reach $6, while 25% see a chance of it touching $3.50. The most likely scenario, with 38% odds, places XRP around $3.20 before the deadline. XRP price prediction. Source: Polymarket Trading volumes behind these probabilities exceed $220,000, signaling growing market engagement in long-term XRP outcomes. Notably, several factors explain why XRP’s chances of reaching $4 have recently diminished. The token has shown high volatility but failed to break key resistance levels, facing repeated rejections near $3 and $3.50 amid weak trading volume. The asset has also been weighed down by broader market sentiment, limiting upward momentum. However, approval of spot crypto ETFs in the United States could be a game changer. As seen with Bitcoin (BTC), such approvals can trigger massive institutional inflows and reignite risk appetite, a development that could significantly raise the odds of XRP hitting $4. XRP price analysis At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at $2.39, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and over 3% on the week. XRP seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold From a technical perspective, XRP is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2.82) and 200-day SMA ($2.62), indicating a bearish trend and weak momentum across both short- and long-term timeframes. Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI at 39.93 signals a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, not yet oversold but showing fading buying strength.  Combined,… The post Crypto markets set odds of XRP hitting $4 before 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction market data from Polymarket shows traders assigning some of the lowest odds for XRP to reach the coveted $4 mark by 2026. Specifically, traders have priced in a 21% probability of XRP hitting $4 before January 2026, reflecting moderate optimism, according to data retrieved by Finbold on October 22.  The $4 target has gained traction recently, rising 4% in probability over the past few sessions. However, higher thresholds appear less convincing, only 6% expect XRP to reach $6, while 25% see a chance of it touching $3.50. The most likely scenario, with 38% odds, places XRP around $3.20 before the deadline. XRP price prediction. Source: Polymarket Trading volumes behind these probabilities exceed $220,000, signaling growing market engagement in long-term XRP outcomes. Notably, several factors explain why XRP’s chances of reaching $4 have recently diminished. The token has shown high volatility but failed to break key resistance levels, facing repeated rejections near $3 and $3.50 amid weak trading volume. The asset has also been weighed down by broader market sentiment, limiting upward momentum. However, approval of spot crypto ETFs in the United States could be a game changer. As seen with Bitcoin (BTC), such approvals can trigger massive institutional inflows and reignite risk appetite, a development that could significantly raise the odds of XRP hitting $4. XRP price analysis At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at $2.39, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and over 3% on the week. XRP seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold From a technical perspective, XRP is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2.82) and 200-day SMA ($2.62), indicating a bearish trend and weak momentum across both short- and long-term timeframes. Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI at 39.93 signals a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, not yet oversold but showing fading buying strength.  Combined,…