Ripple (XRP) Price: Relief Rally Signals Emerge After 15% Weekly Decline

TLDR

• XRP has dropped over 15% in the past week and nearly 50% from its all-time high, now trading around $1.95 after falling below $1.90
• The TD Sequential metric has flashed a buy signal for XRP, historically leading to 14-18% price increases in previous instances
• Grayscale’s XRP Trust will convert to an ETF, marking the third spot XRP ETF in the US within two weeks
• Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity service processed $1.3 trillion in Q2 2025, with transaction fees of around $0.0002 and settlement times of 3-5 seconds
• XRP active addresses dropped 94% from 105,000 to 6,000 by June 2025, showing limited everyday network usage despite institutional partnerships

Ripple’s XRP has experienced a sharp downturn in recent weeks, falling more than 15% over the past seven days. The token now trades at approximately $1.95 after briefly dipping below $1.90 yesterday.

The decline represents a nearly 50% drop from XRP’s all-time high reached in July 2025. This performance comes despite the recent launch of two exchange-traded funds tracking XRP in the United States.

November has proven challenging for cryptocurrency markets overall. Even large-cap digital assets have seen double-digit percentage losses during the month.

However, technical indicators suggest XRP may be positioned for a rebound. Data from analyst Ali Martinez shows the TD Sequential has generated a buy signal for the token.

The TD Sequential is a metric used to identify market exhaustion in either bullish or bearish directions. The last two times this indicator flashed for XRP, the token rallied by 14% and 18% respectively.

New ETF Approval

A similar increase from current levels could push XRP back to the $2.20-$2.30 range. This would represent a recovery from the recent losses.

Grayscale announced plans to convert its XRP Trust into an ETF. Bloomberg expert James Seyffart reported the development, noting it will follow the same structure as Grayscale’s Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF products.

This marks the third spot XRP ETF to launch in the United States within a two-week period. The first two ETF launches resulted in a sell-the-news event, with XRP’s price declining after their debuts.

Industry experts maintain that ETF approvals remain positive for XRP long-term. The products provide regulated access to the token and could drive increased demand if they see strong trading volumes and net inflows.

Ripple’s Payment Network Growth

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse presented projections at the 2025 XRPL Apex Conference. He stated the XRP Ledger could process 14% of SWIFT’s current volume within five years.

SWIFT handles approximately $150 trillion in cross-border payments annually. Capturing 14% of this volume would equal roughly $21 trillion per year for the XRP Ledger.

Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity service processed $1.3 trillion in transactions during Q2 2025. The service uses XRP to eliminate the need for banks to prefund accounts in multiple currencies.

ODL transactions settle in three to five seconds with fees around $0.0002. This compares to traditional SWIFT transfers that take multiple days and cost $26 to $50 per transaction.

Over 60 financial institutions now use XRP for cross-border payments. Partners include SBI Remit and Santander, which have reduced transfer fees from 3-7% to approximately 0.15%.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission settled its lawsuit against Ripple in 2025. This led to XRP being reclassified as a commodity in the United States, triggering over $1 billion in institutional purchases.

Ripple launched its RLUSD stablecoin in 2024, which reached a $1 billion market cap. The stablecoin operates on the XRP Ledger, with each transaction requiring small XRP network fees.

XRP active addresses fell 94% from 105,000 to approximately 6,000 by June 2025. This decline indicates limited retail activity on the network despite institutional adoption.

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