Bitcoin Rallies Above $90,000 as Markets Rebound on Fed Rate Cut Hopes

• Bitcoin surges 7% from November lows: The cryptocurrency leads a risk-on rally across stocks, bonds, and commodities during Thanksgiving week.

• Exchange outage occurs without derailing momentum: A data center failure halts CME futures trading, yet prices remain firm.

• Fed cut probabilities rise to 80%: This boosts flows into risk assets, crushing short sellers with losses exceeding 80% in leveraged inverse ETFs.

Discover the Bitcoin rally in 2025 driving prices over $90K amid Wall Street’s fearless surge. Explore key factors like Fed rate cuts and market resilience—stay ahead in crypto investing today!

What is causing the Bitcoin rally in 2025?

The Bitcoin rally in 2025 stems from a confluence of renewed investor confidence in risk assets, spurred by heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December. This optimism has synchronized gains across equities, bonds, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin rebounding over 7% from its monthly low to surpass $90,000. Despite temporary disruptions like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange outage, the market’s underlying liquidity and positive economic signals have sustained the upward momentum.

How did the Chicago Mercantile Exchange outage impact the Bitcoin rally?

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange outage, triggered by a cooling system failure at a data center, suspended futures and options trading for stocks, interest rates, and commodities on Friday, lasting longer than a comparable 2019 incident. This disruption highlighted the fragility of modern trading infrastructure, as major contracts went offline during peak hours, forcing order flow to alternative venues. However, the Bitcoin rally persisted undeterred, with prices maintaining firmness and the broader S&P 500 advancing 3.7% for its strongest weekly performance in six months. Barclays Plc strategist Emmanuel Cau noted, “Learning from this week is that ‘don’t fight the Fed and don’t fight AI’ remains the market mantra. Stocks and all the liquidity-driven markets have rebounded with the probability of a Fed cut in December, while concerns about AI bubble have abated.”

Bitcoin’s resilience during this event underscores its decoupling from traditional market halts, supported by decentralized trading platforms that absorbed volatility. The Bloomberg Commodity Index rose over 2% weekly, while spot silver hit a record high, reflecting diversified risk appetite. Treasuries also rallied, with the two-year yield dipping to around 3.5% as rate cut bets intensified. Gold and silver gained as traders positioned for looser monetary policy, further bolstering the crypto environment.

Frequently Asked Questions

What drove Bitcoin above $90,000 in November 2025?

Bitcoin’s climb above $90,000 in November 2025 was propelled by a synchronized risk rally across asset classes, including a 7% rebound from monthly lows, amid surging expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Flows into major ETFs like the Vanguard S&P 500 continued unabated, with $125 billion in inflows this year, while short sellers in leveraged inverse products suffered over 80% losses, amplifying the upward pressure on cryptocurrencies.

Will the Federal Reserve rate cut boost the Bitcoin rally further?

Yes, a Federal Reserve rate cut is likely to further accelerate the Bitcoin rally by injecting liquidity into global markets and encouraging investment in high-growth assets like cryptocurrencies. Recent economic indicators, including labor market softness, have elevated December cut probabilities, as echoed by Fed Governor Stephen Miran who advocates for substantial reductions to support the economy. This policy shift could mirror past cycles where easier conditions propelled Bitcoin to new heights.

Key Takeaways

• Resilient Risk Appetite: Markets surged despite the CME outage, with Bitcoin leading a 7% gain from November lows and the S&P 500 up 3.7% weekly.
• Fed Policy Momentum: Rate cut expectations, now at peak levels, drove Treasury yields lower to 3.5% and crushed short sellers with 80%+ losses in inverse ETFs.
• Diversified Gains: Commodities like gold and silver hit records, signaling broad-based optimism—investors should monitor liquidity flows for sustained crypto upside.

Conclusion

The Bitcoin rally in 2025, intertwined with Wall Street’s bold advance and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange outage’s minimal impact, illustrates a market fortified by Federal Reserve rate cut anticipations and unyielding liquidity. As Bitcoin holds above $90,000 and asset classes align in a risk-on environment, expert insights from Barclays and Goldman Sachs underscore the mantra of not opposing central bank easing or AI-driven innovation. Looking ahead, sustained economic data supporting policy shifts could extend this momentum, urging investors to position strategically in the evolving crypto landscape.

Wall Street’s determination shone through amid challenges, as reported by Bloomberg, transforming a month of anxiety over speculative risks and elevated AI valuations into a unified rally across stocks, bonds, Bitcoin, and commodities. Trading volume remained robust throughout Thanksgiving week, defying typical slowdowns.

Cryptocurrencies accelerated notably, with Bitcoin’s 7% ascent from November troughs mirroring jumps in shorted equities. Meme stock and high-yield bond volatility eased, signaling stabilizing sentiment.

Traders amplified wagers on a December Federal Reserve rate reduction, lifting gold and silver prices. Equity and commodity positioning shifted decisively toward risk, bolstered by Alphabet Inc.’s latest AI model release that alleviated Big Tech expenditure concerns and anchored U.S. asset appeal.

The trading suspension, stemming from the data center issue, did not fracture the upward trajectory. Futures on equities, rates, and commodities paused during an energetic session, with the halt exceeding the 2019 precedent in duration. While secondary platforms handled some volume, the event exposed overreliance on centralized tech infrastructures.

Market prices held steady through the interruption, rewarding passive exposure to technology-laden indices. Bearish leveraged products linked to the S&P 500 have eroded over 80% in value this year. Tail-risk hedges present a varied picture, with the Cambria Tail Risk ETF showing slight 2025 gains amid broader defensive underperformance against the rapid recovery.

Treasury movements aligned with the surge, as the two-year yield settled near 3.5% on amplified easing forecasts for the next year.

Following a 30% intra-month decline, Bitcoin reclaimed territory over $90,000. The Bloomberg Commodity Index advanced more than 2% weekly, and spot silver achieved an all-time peak in the ascent.

Risk asset inflows persisted through peak fear periods earlier in the month. The Cboe Volatility Index hit an April high just two weeks prior, driven by valuation pressures and employment uncertainties, yet capital kept channeling into higher-yield opportunities.

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, managing $820 billion, nears record annual inflows of $125 billion in 2025, with a 17% year-to-date return.

A straightforward position in U.S. Treasuries has yielded nearly 7% returns thus far in 2025, the best for sovereign debt since 2020. High-yield bonds reversed course, with the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF gaining almost 1% after prior withdrawals from riskier debt.

Short positions incurred substantial setbacks. A Goldman Sachs Group Inc. index of top-shorted stocks has risen 28% annually. Triple-leveraged inverse U.S. equity ETFs have plummeted approximately 84%.

Asset class volatility receded, with swings in investment-grade and high-yield bonds both declining over the week.

Marlborough Investment Management’s James Athey observed, “To get persistent and meaningful downside in equities probably requires several reinforcing narratives. And given liquidity conditions and changes globally, I think it will need a much more significant level of concern about the economy.”

The sentiment pivot arose from growing conviction in policy accommodation. Kevin Hassett, former White House National Economic Council director under President Donald Trump, leads as a potential next Federal Reserve chair.

Current Fed Governor Stephen Miran reiterated calls for aggressive rate reductions, with labor data underscoring the need for December action by the central bank.