Rongchai Wang
Dec 01, 2025 08:25
Toncoin shows bullish signals at $1.50 despite recent decline, with analysts targeting $2.70 within a month as key resistance at $2.09 becomes crucial for the next rally phase.
Toncoin (TON) currently trades at $1.50, down 3.90% in the last 24 hours, but technical indicators suggest a potential reversal is brewing. Multiple analysts have issued bullish TON price predictions, with targets ranging from $2.50 to $2.70 by December 2025, representing potential gains of 67% to 80% from current levels.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.85-$2.03 (+23% to +35%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.50-$2.70 range (+67% to +80%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.09 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $1.45 immediate support, $1.36 Bollinger lower band
The current technical setup shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 31.73, while the MACD histogram at 0.0115 indicates early bullish momentum divergence.
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst coverage shows remarkable consensus on Toncoin forecast targets. Blockchain.News projects a $2.70 TON price target based on technical analysis indicating a 46% rally potential, contingent on breaking the critical $2.09 resistance level. CoinCodex maintains a more conservative $2.51 short-term target, expecting a 28.97% increase within five days.
MEXC News aligns with the bullish sentiment, forecasting a $2.50-$2.70 range by December 2025 despite current consolidation patterns. Notably, even Coinbase’s conservative long-term analysis suggests a $2.03 TON price target, representing a 27.6% increase over five years, which appears modest compared to other predictions.
The analyst consensus strongly favors upside potential, with all four major predictions agreeing on targets above $2.00, despite TON trading significantly below these levels at $1.50.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Reversal
The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals a compelling setup for potential upside. TON trades well below all major moving averages, with the price sitting at $1.50 compared to the SMA 20 at $1.67 and SMA 50 at $1.96. This significant discount to moving averages often precedes strong rebounds in trending assets.
The RSI at 31.73 indicates oversold conditions without reaching extreme levels, suggesting accumulation rather than capitulation. More importantly, the MACD histogram shows a positive reading of 0.0115, indicating bullish momentum divergence despite the recent price decline.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON at a %B position of 0.2285, meaning the price sits closer to the lower band ($1.36) than the upper band ($1.99). This positioning typically signals oversold conditions in trending markets, supporting the bullish TON price prediction scenario.
Volume analysis shows healthy participation with $13.45 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, maintaining liquidity for any potential breakout moves.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The primary bullish scenario for this TON price prediction centers on reclaiming the $2.09 resistance level, which aligns perfectly with analyst targets. Once this critical level breaks, the path opens to the $2.50-$2.70 range, supported by the following technical factors:
The immediate resistance at $2.12 provides the first hurdle, followed by stronger resistance at $2.38. Breaking above $2.38 would likely trigger momentum-based buying toward the analyst consensus targets near $2.70.
For this Toncoin forecast to materialize, TON needs to reclaim the SMA 20 at $1.67 first, then challenge the SMA 50 at $1.96. The Bollinger upper band at $1.99 represents another key technical level that could provide resistance.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish scenario for TON involves a breakdown below the critical $1.45 support level. This would expose the Bollinger lower band at $1.36 and potentially the 52-week low at $1.47, creating a double-bottom formation or worse.
Key downside targets include $1.36 (Bollinger lower band) and potentially $1.20 if broader crypto weakness emerges. The bearish case would be confirmed by RSI dropping below 30 and MACD histogram turning decisively negative.
Risk factors include broader market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting Telegram’s ecosystem, or failure to break above the SMA 20 resistance at $1.67.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on this Toncoin technical analysis, a layered entry strategy appears optimal. The current level near $1.50 offers reasonable risk-reward for long-term positions, with immediate support at $1.45 providing a logical stop-loss level.
Conservative traders should wait for a break above $1.67 (SMA 20) before entering, confirming the reversal thesis. Aggressive traders can begin accumulating between $1.45-$1.55, using the Bollinger lower band at $1.36 as a final stop-loss.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the distance to targets, with risk management limiting exposure to 2-3% of portfolio value. The buy or sell TON decision favors buying at current levels for traders with medium-term horizons, given the compelling risk-reward ratio to analyst targets.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
This TON price prediction maintains a bullish outlook with medium confidence, targeting the $2.50-$2.70 range by December 2025. The confluence of oversold technical conditions, positive analyst sentiment, and strong project fundamentals supports upside potential of 67-80% from current levels.
Key indicators to monitor include RSI recovery above 40, MACD crossover confirmation, and most critically, a break above the $2.09 resistance level that multiple analysts have identified as the catalyst for the next rally phase.
The timeline for this Toncoin forecast extends through December 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within the next 1-2 weeks. Failure to hold $1.45 support would invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially target the $1.20-$1.36 range instead.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251201-price-prediction-ton-targeting-270-by-december-2025-despite
