institutional flows reshape Q4 2025

Institutional investors are reshaping Bitcoin market structure as liquidity, ETFs, stablecoins, and tokenized assets redefine how capital moves across digital markets.

Fasanara Digital and Glassnode map an institutional Q4

In a market shaken by recent drawdowns and macro pressure, a new collaborative report from Fasanara Digital and Glassnode examines how core ecosystem infrastructure is shifting in Q4 2025. The study tracks spot liquidity, ETF flows, stablecoins, tokenized assets, and decentralized perpetuals to understand how institutional capital is reorganising around crypto.

According to the authors, digital assets are moving through one of the most structurally important phases of the current cycle.

Moreover, Bitcoin has pushed through a three-year expansion driven by deep spot liquidity, historic capital inflows, and strong demand from regulated ETFs. Execution venues are maturing, flows are consolidating, and derivatives infrastructure is showing growing resilience to market shocks.

Drawing on Glassnode’s on-chain metrics and Fasanara’s trading perspective, the 2025 research report charts how market structure has evolved this year. It details how liquidity has reorganised across spot markets, ETFs, and futures; how leverage cycles have changed in scale; and how stablecoins, tokenisation, and off-exchange settlement are reshaping capital movement. Together, these trends outline a market architecture materially different from prior cycles, and still evolving.

Key data points from the Q4 2025 institutional landscape

The report highlights seven core datapoints that define the current phase of the cycle. First, Bitcoin has attracted more than $732B in new capital, exceeding all previous cycles combined, and lifting its Realized Cap to roughly $1.1T alongside a +690% price gain. This underscores the scale of inflows underpinning the asset’s latest expansion.

Second, the top asset’s long-term volatility has almost halved. It has fallen from 84% to 43%, reflecting growing market depth and a larger share of institutional participation. However, structural improvements in liquidity have not eliminated leverage shocks, which continue to punctuate the market.

Third, over the last 90 days, Bitcoin has settled approximately $6.9T in value on-chain. That puts its settlement volumes on par with, or above, the quarterly volumes processed by Visa and Mastercard. Activity is increasingly migrating off-chain toward ETFs and brokerage venues, yet Bitcoin and stablecoins remain dominant for on-chain settlement.

Fourth, ETF trading volumes have surged from a sub-$1B baseline to more than $5B per day, with peaks above $9B per day around stress events such as the post-October 10 deleveraging. Fifth, tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) have grown in value from $7B to $24B in one year, with low correlation to traditional crypto assets. This low correlation boosts stability and capital efficiency in DeFi.

Sixth, the decentralized perpetual sector has seen explosive but sustained expansion. The DEX share of perpetual futures volume has risen from roughly 10% to around 16–20%, while monthly perp volume has surpassed $1T. Finally, VC activity remains closely aligned with altcoin cycles, concentrating on established, high-profile sectors such as exchanges, core infrastructure, and scaling solutions.

A Bitcoin -led market structure

This cycle is described as Bitcoin-led, spot-driven, and anchored by institutional participation. Bitcoin is nearing 60% market dominance, signalling a shift back toward high-liquidity majors while altcoins retreat. Since November 2022, Bitcoin dominance has climbed from 38.7% to 58.3%, while Ethereum has slid to 12.1%, extending a multi-year trend of underperformance versus Bitcoin since the 2022 Merge.

From cycle low to peak, Bitcoin has attracted $732B in new capital, exceeding the combined inflows of all earlier cycles. Ethereum and the wider altcoin sector have also rallied, posting peak gains above +350%. However, they have failed to outperform Bitcoin as they did in previous bull markets, reinforcing the idea that this phase is increasingly centred on the leading asset.

Deeper liquidity and lower volatility, with leverage still a risk

Market structure for Bitcoin has strengthened materially compared with the prior cycle. Spot volumes have risen from a $4B–$13B range to about $8B–$22B per day today, pointing to deeper liquidity and greater institutional engagement. Moreover, one-year realized volatility has dropped from 84.4% to 43.0%, in line with the broader halving in long-term volatility noted in the report.

At the same time, futures activity has expanded to a record $67.9B in open interest, with CME accounting for roughly 30% of total OI. That share represents a clear institutional footprint across derivatives venues. That said, leverage has not disappeared as a source of risk, and sharp deleveraging episodes, such as the October 10 event, still generate significant short-term price dislocations.

On-chain activity migrates off-exchange but settlement remains robust

As ETFs and brokerage platforms absorb more investor flows, on-chain user metrics have shifted. Bitcoin’s number of Active Entities has fallen from around 240k to 170k per day following the approval of U.S. spot ETFs. This mirrors a migration of activity toward regulated venues rather than a collapse in network usage.

Despite this change, the network has still settled about $6.9T in value over the last 90 days, comparable to or exceeding quarterly volumes on Visa and Mastercard. When internal movements are adjusted using Glassnode’s entity-based heuristics, economic settlement still reaches roughly $0.87T per quarter, or $7.8B per day. These figures point to a durable base of economic activity on-chain, even as execution shifts off-exchange.

Alongside Bitcoin, stablecoins continue to provide core liquidity across the digital asset ecosystem. The aggregate supply of the top five stablecoins has reached a record $263B. Moreover, the combined transfer volume of USDT and USDC averages about $225B per day, with USDC showing notably higher velocity, a pattern consistent with more institutional and DeFi-oriented flows.

Tokenized assets expand crypto’s financial rails

Tokenized real-world assets have become one of the fastest-growing segments in digital finance. Their aggregate value has climbed from $7B to $24B in the past year. Ethereum remains the primary settlement layer, now hosting roughly $11.5B in tokenized assets that span treasuries, funds, and other on-chain instruments.

The largest single tokenized product is BlackRock‘s BUIDL fund, which has scaled to $2.3B and has more than quadrupled year-to-date. Alongside this flagship product, tokenized funds more generally are emerging as a major category, opening new distribution channels for traditional asset managers. However, the report notes that tokenisation is still early in its adoption curve, with significant room for growth as more institutions test on-chain fund issuance.

This expansion of tokenized assets is broadening the financial rails that connect traditional markets with crypto-native liquidity. The authors argue that this trend is central to the evolution of bitcoin market structure, as tokenisation integrates real-world collateral, diversified yield products, and off-exchange settlement tools into the same on-chain environment.

Decentralized perps and venture capital reshape risk appetite

The growth of decentralized perpetuals is another defining feature of the 2025 landscape. DEX perpetuals have lifted their market share from around 10% to the 16–20 range, while monthly perpetual volumes now exceed $1T. Moreover, this sector’s expansion has been sustained rather than purely speculative, suggesting that traders increasingly view on-chain derivatives as viable complements to centralized exchanges.

Venture capital flows, meanwhile, remain pro-cyclical and closely tied to altcoin performance. Funding is concentrating in established segments such as centralized and decentralized exchanges, core blockchain infrastructure, and scaling solutions. That said, the persistence of VC interest through drawdowns implies that investors still see long-term upside in building out digital market infrastructure.

Inside the full 35-page institutional report

The 35-page report from Fasanara Digital and Glassnode provides a structured walkthrough of today’s market from an institutional vantage point. It combines cycle-level context with granular microstructure analysis, covering spreads, collateral dynamics, liquidations, stablecoins, tokenised assets, treasuries, and off-exchange settlement flows.

Readers can download the full document to explore how spot liquidity trends, ETF channels, derivatives markets, and on-chain settlement intertwine to define the current phase of the cycle. Overall, the research portrays a maturing digital asset ecosystem where institutional crypto flows, tokenization, and robust derivatives are converging into a more resilient, data-driven market structure.