Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahea Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahea

Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb

4 min read
Share
Share this article
Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail

Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb

The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.

By Francisco Rodrigues|Edited by Stephen Alpher
Dec 6, 2025, 3:46 p.m.
Coinbase (Modified by CoinDesk)

What to know:

  • Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
  • The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
  • Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.

Coinbase Institutional has said crypto markets may be poised for a December recovery, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin BTC$89,860.54.

In a market note shared Dec. 6, the firm pointed to rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, now priced at 93% on Polymarket and 86% on the CME’s FedWatch , as a central driver.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters
Sign me up

Liquidity conditions are also improving, based on Coinbase’s internal M2 index, which tracks monetary flows that impact asset prices. The firm had previously predicted a weak November followed by a rebound, citing similar indicators.

The note also flagged additional tailwinds that could support the rally, among them the expected bursting of the so-called AI bubble that hasn’t happened and a weaker U.S. dollar.

Though remaining lower for the week, bitcoin did manage to rise from its worst levels, perhaps fueled by institutional headlines like Vanguard’s crypto ETF policy reversal, Bank of America greenlighting its wealth advisers to recommend allocations of as much as 4% of portfolios in crypto.

CoinbaseBitcoin News

More For You

Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

Commissioned byGoPlus

What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
View Full Report

More For You

How Much Longer Until We Consider the Bitcoin Power Law Model Invalid?

As the gap between spot bitcoin price and the power law widens, investors are left questioning whether mean reversion is coming or if another cornerstone model is approaching its end.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin has largely tracked its long standing power law trend this cycle, though it now trades about 32% below the model.
  • Earlier models like stock to flow have already failed, with its current implied valuation near $1.3 million per bitcoin
Read full story
Latest Crypto News

How Much Longer Until We Consider the Bitcoin Power Law Model Invalid?

The Grandma Test: When Your Mom Can Use DePIN, Mass Adoption Has Arrived

Anthony Pompliano's Bitcoin Treasury Firm ProCap BTC Closes SPAC Merger Deal

Stablecoin Adoption Is ‘Exploding' — Here's Why Wall Street Is Going All-In

LUNC Surges Over 160% in a Week as Do Kwon Sentencing and Token Burns Draw Traders

Euro Stablecoin Market Cap Doubles in Year After MiCA, Study Finds

Top Stories

How Much Longer Until We Consider the Bitcoin Power Law Model Invalid?

Euro Stablecoin Market Cap Doubles in Year After MiCA, Study Finds

Anthony Pompliano's Bitcoin Treasury Firm ProCap BTC Closes SPAC Merger Deal

Small Texas Lender Monet Joining Field of Crypto-Focused Banks

U.S. Prosecutors Seek 12-Year Sentence for Terraform Founder Do Kwon in Crypto Fraud Case

Trump’s Security Strategy: Impact on Bitcoin, Gold, Bond Yields

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Recovery extends to $88.20, momentum improves

Recovery extends to $88.20, momentum improves

The post Recovery extends to $88.20, momentum improves appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Silver price extended its recovery for the second straight day, up by
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2026/02/05 07:34
Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For

Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For

The post Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline The Federal Reserve on Wednesday will conclude a two-day policymaking meeting and release a decision on whether to lower interest rates—following months of pressure and criticism from President Donald Trump—and potentially signal whether additional cuts are on the way. President Donald Trump has urged the central bank to “CUT INTEREST RATES, NOW, AND BIGGER” than they might plan to. Getty Images Key Facts The central bank is poised to cut interest rates by at least a quarter-point, down from the 4.25% to 4.5% range where they have been held since December to between 4% and 4.25%, as Wall Street has placed 100% odds of a rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch, with higher odds (94%) on a quarter-point cut than a half-point (6%) reduction. Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees, voted in July for a quarter-point reduction to rates, and they may dissent again in favor of a large cut alongside Stephen Miran, Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers’ chair, who was sworn in at the meeting’s start on Tuesday. It’s unclear whether other policymakers, including Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, will favor larger cuts or opt for no reduction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole, Wyoming, address last month the central bank would likely consider a looser monetary policy, noting the “shifting balance of risks” on the U.S. economy “may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” David Mericle, an economist for Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note the “key question” for the Fed’s meeting is whether policymakers signal “this is likely the first in a series of consecutive cuts” as the central bank is anticipated to “acknowledge the softening in the labor market,” though they may not “nod to an October cut.” Mericle said he…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:23
Wormhole launches reserve tying protocol revenue to token

Wormhole launches reserve tying protocol revenue to token

The post Wormhole launches reserve tying protocol revenue to token appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Wormhole is changing how its W token works by creating a new reserve designed to hold value for the long term. Announced on Wednesday, the Wormhole Reserve will collect onchain and offchain revenues and other value generated across the protocol and its applications (including Portal) and accumulate them into W, locking the tokens within the reserve. The reserve is part of a broader update called W 2.0. Other changes include a 4% targeted base yield for tokenholders who stake and take part in governance. While staking rewards will vary, Wormhole said active users of ecosystem apps can earn boosted yields through features like Portal Earn. The team stressed that no new tokens are being minted; rewards come from existing supply and protocol revenues, keeping the cap fixed at 10 billion. Wormhole is also overhauling its token release schedule. Instead of releasing large amounts of W at once under the old “cliff” model, the network will shift to steady, bi-weekly unlocks starting October 3, 2025. The aim is to avoid sharp periods of selling pressure and create a more predictable environment for investors. Lockups for some groups, including validators and investors, will extend an additional six months, until October 2028. Core contributor tokens remain under longer contractual time locks. Wormhole launched in 2020 as a cross-chain bridge and now connects more than 40 blockchains. The W token powers governance and staking, with a capped supply of 10 billion. By redirecting fees and revenues into the new reserve, Wormhole is betting that its token can maintain value as demand for moving assets and data between chains grows. This is a developing story. This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor Jeffrey Albus before publication. Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters: Source: https://blockworks.co/news/wormhole-launches-reserve
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 01:55