BTC exchange balances have dropped to some of the lowest levels ever recorded, and analysts claim that a rally to $100K is likely. The post Bitcoin Entering a Supply Shock? Analysts Eye Christmas Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker.BTC exchange balances have dropped to some of the lowest levels ever recorded, and analysts claim that a rally to $100K is likely. The post Bitcoin Entering a Supply Shock? Analysts Eye Christmas Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker.

Bitcoin Entering a Supply Shock? Analysts Eye Christmas Rally

Bitcoin BTC $90 610 24h volatility: 1.3% Market cap: $1.81 T Vol. 24h: $44.47 B is once again trading at the $90,000 range with a 2% drop in 24 hours, raising short-term concerns.

However, analysts claim that BTC is quietly entering the early stages of a supply squeeze, a setup that has historically led to massive price rallies.

Meanwhile, exchange balances have fallen, and long-term holders are accumulating as the market watches whether Bitcoin can capitalize on this tightening supply heading into the Christmas period.

Exchange reserves hit historic lows

On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows Bitcoin entering one of its lowest liquid supply phases in history. Despite the recent pullback, centralized exchanges now hold only about 2.76 million BTC.

The decline shot up through November and December, while Bitcoin continued to bleed to multi-month lows.

Traditionally, falling prices trigger higher exchange inflows as traders prepare to sell. But, the opposite has occurred this year.

BTC exchange reserve | Source: CryptoQuant

BTC exchange reserve | Source: CryptoQuant

Long-term holders and institutions have been withdrawing coins into custody, reducing the amount of supply available for immediate sale. CryptoQuant analysts predict that this pattern could evolve into a full supply shock if the current pace continues.

On the other hand, Santiment data shows a massive reduction in exchange supply across the past year. Roughly 403,200 BTC have left exchanges over the period, a 2.09% drop in total circulating supply held on trading platforms.

For Bitcoin, fewer coins on exchanges reduce the probability of swift, large-scale sell-offs. Santiment said that as Bitcoin hovers near $90,000, the ongoing supply decline represents significant demand.

One year ago, exchanges held about 1.8 million BTC. Today, the figure is closer to 1.2 million, Santiment’s chart showed.

Analysts track a potential christmas breakout

Analyst Michael van de Poppe shared a chart indicating that Bitcoin continues to follow a bullish structure. If buyers hold the current range and prevent a deeper correction, price could push toward the $100,000 mark before Christmas, he said.

Bitcoin Vector added that the macro liquidity backdrop may be turning in Bitcoin’s favor. They point out that earlier setups with similar characteristics led to full-blown rallies, making BTC the next crypto to explode.

Bitcoin hyper raises $29.2m as investors shift focus

Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) has begun to draw attention as some large Bitcoin holders turn their focus toward other emerging projects. The project’s presale has raised $29.2 million amid growing interest in networks that address long-standing limits within the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin Hyper is designed to deal with issues such as slow transaction speeds, higher fees, and the lack of built-in smart contracts. The project proposes a faster Layer 2 system that processes activity through an upgraded virtual machine before settling it on Bitcoin’s main chain.

This approach is meant to keep settlement secure while improving day-to-day performance.

Hyper token utility and presale details

The HYPER token serves several roles within the network. It is used to pay gas fees, can be staked, and provides access to certain features across the platform. These functions place the token at the center of Bitcoin Hyper’s ecosystem.

The presale price is currently set at $0.013395. The team will increase the HYPER token price in a few hours. For those who wish to participate, check out our guide on how to buy Bitcoin Hyper.

next

The post Bitcoin Entering a Supply Shock? Analysts Eye Christmas Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker.

Market Opportunity
Bitcoin Logo
Bitcoin Price(BTC)
$89,565.83
$89,565.83$89,565.83
+0.60%
USD
Bitcoin (BTC) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The post The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Visions of future technology are often prescient about the broad strokes while flubbing the details. The tablets in “2001: A Space Odyssey” do indeed look like iPads, but you never see the astronauts paying for subscriptions or wasting hours on Candy Crush.  Channel factories are one vision that arose early in the history of the Lightning Network to address some challenges that Lightning has faced from the beginning. Despite having grown to become Bitcoin’s most successful layer-2 scaling solution, with instant and low-fee payments, Lightning’s scale is limited by its reliance on payment channels. Although Lightning shifts most transactions off-chain, each payment channel still requires an on-chain transaction to open and (usually) another to close. As adoption grows, pressure on the blockchain grows with it. The need for a more scalable approach to managing channels is clear. Channel factories were supposed to meet this need, but where are they? In 2025, subnetworks are emerging that revive the impetus of channel factories with some new details that vastly increase their potential. They are natively interoperable with Lightning and achieve greater scale by allowing a group of participants to open a shared multisig UTXO and create multiple bilateral channels, which reduces the number of on-chain transactions and improves capital efficiency. Achieving greater scale by reducing complexity, Ark and Spark perform the same function as traditional channel factories with new designs and additional capabilities based on shared UTXOs.  Channel Factories 101 Channel factories have been around since the inception of Lightning. A factory is a multiparty contract where multiple users (not just two, as in a Dryja-Poon channel) cooperatively lock funds in a single multisig UTXO. They can open, close and update channels off-chain without updating the blockchain for each operation. Only when participants leave or the factory dissolves is an on-chain transaction…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:09
Superstate Raises Over $82 Million to Develop Onchain Capital Markets

Superstate Raises Over $82 Million to Develop Onchain Capital Markets

Superstate announced that it has raised $82.5 million in a Series B funding round. The capital will be used to develop infrastructure for issuing and trading shares
Share
Incrypted2026/01/23 00:13
Valicor Brings Financial Education to Second High School in Underserved Community

Valicor Brings Financial Education to Second High School in Underserved Community

Partnership with Ramsey Education expands from Cincinnati to Michigan, equipping students with essential money management skills. MONROE, Ohio., Jan. 22, 2026 /
Share
AI Journal2026/01/22 23:50