TAO Holds Near $300 as Bittensor Halving Nears

• TAO halving hits December 14, cutting issuance from 7,200 to 3,600 a day.
• TAO steadies near $260 to $280 support as traders watch resistance at $450 to $480.
• Grayscale GTAO expands brokerage access as AI policy turns into a new market theme.

Bittensor is set to undergo its first TAO halving on December 14, 2025, an event that will reduce daily token issuance from about 7,200 TAO to about 3,600 TAO and mark the close of the network’s initial four-year cycle. 

With Trump’s AI executive order putting AI infrastructure back in focus, TAO is trading as part of a wider decentralized AI narrative. The move is drawing attention from market analysts and traders as price action stabilizes after a long pullback and as new institutional access points emerge alongside the supply reduction.

Related: Bittensor Price Prediction: TAO Eyes $600 As ETP Launch And Halving Hype Ignite Demand

TAO Price Stabilizes After the Pullback From November Highs

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted that TAO has been consolidating after an extended corrective phase. Chart data shows the token retracing from a November high near $500 into the $260–$280 range, where price has begun to stabilize around a higher-timeframe support zone. According to the TradingView chart referenced by van de Poppe, TAO has recently moved above its 20-day moving average, a level often monitored for early signs of a change in short-term momentum.

Volume has compressed during the decline, indicating reduced selling pressure, while Relative Strength Index readings show recovery from oversold conditions without entering overbought territory. Despite the stabilization, analysts continue to highlight resistance between roughly $450 and $480, an area aligned with prior rejection points and concentrated liquidity.

Lower-Timeframe Breakout Draws Attention

Another analyst, Captain Faibik, highlighted a stronger structure on the four-hour TAO/USDT chart. His analysis shows that the price is breaking above a descending channel that had guided lower highs and lower lows since late October. The breakout followed several higher lows forming near the channel base, suggesting diminishing downside momentum.

The chart outlines a projected upside zone that corresponds with earlier consolidation areas from the downtrend. While the projection is illustrative, Faibik emphasized that sustained volume and a successful conversion of the former trendline into support will be key in determining whether the move develops into a broader trend shift or remains a short-term recovery.

GTAO and Treasury Holdings Expand the Institutional Angle Into the Halving

Adding to the market focus, analyst Kyledoops pointed to the proximity of the halving alongside Grayscale’s launch of the Grayscale Bittensor Trust (ticker: GTAO). The product offers brokerage-based exposure to TAO and currently manages $10.8 million in assets across 1.88 million shares.

Grayscale Research analyst Will Ogden Moore stated that the halving reduces token emissions, while the network continues to experience growth in adoption. Moore cited the February launch of dynamic TAO (dTAO), which made Bittensor subnets directly investible and coincided with increased institutional participation.

According to Moore, several investment firms have launched subnet-focused funds, and three public companies now maintain TAO treasuries, with TAO Synergies holding about $12 million worth of the token.

As of press time, TAO was trading at $300.53, with a 24-hour trading volume of $132.1 million and a market capitalization of approximately $3.15 billion.

Related: Bittensor (TAO) to $1,000? Here’s What a Crypto Analyst Thinks