The weekly chart for Dogecoin shows a signal that could be of greater significance due to its rarity. Crypto analyst Cryptollica pointed to DOGE’s weekly RSI taggingThe weekly chart for Dogecoin shows a signal that could be of greater significance due to its rarity. Crypto analyst Cryptollica pointed to DOGE’s weekly RSI tagging

Dogecoin Hits Rare Weekly RSI Level Seen Only 4 Times In 11 Years

2025/12/16 19:00

The weekly chart for Dogecoin shows a signal that could be of greater significance due to its rarity. Crypto analyst Cryptollica pointed to DOGE’s weekly RSI tagging roughly 33.6 and claimed that level has shown up only four times in 11 years. “DOGE WEEKLY RSI. 4 times in 11 years ..,” he posted.

What This Means For The Dogecoin Price

DOGE, for context, was trading around $0.129 at the time of writing, down roughly mid-single digits on the day. The hook is simple: a weekly RSI that low usually means sellers have been in control for a while — and on a weekly timeframe, that kind of pressure tends to carry more weight than intraday noise. This isn’t “RSI brushed 30 on a 15-minute candle.” It’s slower, heavier, and tied to the bigger trend.

Dogecoin's weekly chart flashes rare RSI signal

Still, it’s not quite as plug-and-play as the screenshot makes it look. Cryptollica’s point is that the same zone showed up around (1) early May 2015, (2) March 2020, (3) mid-June 2022, and (4) now. The post is the spark; what traders actually care about is what happened next. And this is where Dogecoin’s history gets… very Dogecoin.

On May 6, 2015, DOGE was quoted around $0.000087. Beyond the price being basically dust, the backdrop was messy: weeks earlier, Dogecoin co-founder Jackson Palmer said he was stepping away from the crypto community, calling out what he described as a “toxic” culture.

The bounce didn’t show up on schedule. DOGE drifted for a long time, then later caught the 2017–18 mania, briefly touching $0.017 on Jan. 7, 2018. From roughly $0.000087, that’s about +19,000% to that local-cycle high — a good reminder that “oversold” on a weekly chart can show up early and still end up pointing the right way. In mid-March 2020 (peak COVID panic), DOGE traded around $0.001537. When the panic eased and liquidity returned to markets, DOGE went on to print its next cycle top at $0.7316 on May 8, 2021.

That’s roughly +47,000% from the March 2020 level to the 2021 high. It’s also the stretch where DOGE stopped being “just” a joke coin and started behaving like a retail risk-on barometer — with Musk-era attention pouring gasoline on it.

By mid-June 2022, the bear-market washout was in full effect. DOGE was around $0.053. The recovery came in waves: a late-2022 pop tied to Musk/Twitter speculation and broader risk-on bursts, then a bigger 2024 meme-led rip.

By March 28, 2024, DOGE was back around $0.220 — roughly +315% from the June 2022 level to the next notable local high. Not 2021-level insanity, but still a real multi-x.

And now, as of Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025, Dogecoin was changing hands around $0.129. The “signal” crowd will look at that weekly RSI print and argue the market is back in the same psychological neighborhood as those prior exhaustion points.

The bullish case writes itself: if this weekly RSI zone has tended to show up near seller fatigue in the past, then seeing it again could mean risk/reward is quietly shifting. Not a promise — more like a reason to stop ignoring DOGE and start watching it.

But RSI isn’t a timing tool. Oversold can stay oversold. Weekly signals can hang around, whip traders around, or get flattened if broader risk keeps leaking.

For now, it’s a setup, not an outcome. If DOGE starts reclaiming levels and holding them, the “rare signal” crowd will take the victory lap. If it keeps bleeding, this gets filed under interesting, early, and painful — like a lot of trading ideas.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.12878.

Dogecoin price chart
Market Opportunity
SuperRare Logo
SuperRare Price(RARE)
$0.02152
$0.02152$0.02152
-2.80%
USD
SuperRare (RARE) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Crypto Market Cap Edges Up 2% as Bitcoin Approaches $118K After Fed Rate Trim

Crypto Market Cap Edges Up 2% as Bitcoin Approaches $118K After Fed Rate Trim

The global crypto market cap rose 2% to $4.2 trillion on Thursday, lifted by Bitcoin’s steady climb toward $118,000 after the Fed delivered its first interest rate cut of the year. Gains were measured, however, as investors weighed the central bank’s cautious tone on future policy moves. Bitcoin last traded 1% higher at $117,426. Ether rose 2.8% to $4,609. XRP also gained, rising 2.9% to $3.10. Fed Chair Jerome Powell described Wednesday’s quarter-point reduction as a risk-management step, stressing that policymakers were in no hurry to speed up the easing cycle. His comments dampened expectations of more aggressive cuts, limiting enthusiasm across risk assets. Traders Anticipated Fed Rate Trim, Leaving Little Room for Surprise Rally The Federal Open Market Committee voted 11-to-1 to lower the benchmark lending rate to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%. The sole dissent came from newly appointed governor Stephen Miran, who pushed for a half-point cut. Traders were largely prepared for the move. Futures markets tracked by the CME FedWatch tool had assigned a 96% probability to a 25 basis point cut, making the decision widely anticipated. That advance positioning meant much of the potential boost was already priced in, creating what analysts described as a “buy the rumour, sell the news” environment. Fed Rate Decision Creates Conditions for Crypto, But Traders Still Hold Back Andrew Forson, president of DeFi Technologies, said lower borrowing costs would eventually steer more money toward digital assets. “A lower cost of capital indicates more capital flows into the digital assets space because the risk hurdle rate for money is lower,” he noted. He added that staking products and blockchain projects could become attractive alternatives to traditional bonds, offering both yield and appreciation. Despite the cut, crypto markets remained calm. Open interest in Bitcoin futures held steady and no major liquidation cascades followed the Fed’s decision. Analysts pointed to Powell’s language and upcoming economic data as the key factors for traders before building larger positions. Powell’s Caution Tempers Immediate Impact of Fed Rate Move on Crypto Markets History also suggests crypto rallies after rate cuts often take time. When the Fed eased in Dec. 2024, Bitcoin briefly surged 5% cent before consolidating, with sustained gains arriving only weeks later. This time, market watchers are bracing for a similar pattern. Powell’s insistence on caution, combined with uncertainty around inflation and growth, has kept short-term volatility muted even as sentiment for risk assets improves. BitMine’s Tom Lee this week predicted that Bitcoin and Ether could deliver “monster gains” in the next three months if the Fed continues on an easing path. His view echoes broader expectations that liquidity-sensitive assets will outperform once the cycle gathers pace. For now, the crypto sector has digested the Fed’s move with restraint. Traders remain focused on signals from the central bank’s October meeting to determine whether Wednesday’s step marks the beginning of a broader policy shift or just a one-off adjustment
Share
CryptoNews2025/09/18 13:14
Vitalik Buterin Reveals Ethereum’s Long-Term Focus on Quantum Resistance

Vitalik Buterin Reveals Ethereum’s Long-Term Focus on Quantum Resistance

TLDR Ethereum focuses on quantum resistance to secure the blockchain’s future. Vitalik Buterin outlines Ethereum’s long-term development with security goals. Ethereum aims for improved transaction efficiency and layer-2 scalability. Ethereum maintains a strong market position with price stability above $4,000. Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder of Ethereum, has shared insights into the blockchain’s long-term development. During [...] The post Vitalik Buterin Reveals Ethereum’s Long-Term Focus on Quantum Resistance appeared first on CoinCentral.
Share
Coincentral2025/09/18 00:31
Federal Reserve Officials Forecast 2025 Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve Officials Forecast 2025 Rate Cuts

Detail: https://coincu.com/markets/federal-reserve-2025-rate-cuts/
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 13:11