Long-term Bitcoin holder selling activity has sparked debate after recent on-chain metrics suggested unprecedented distribution levels.
However, analysts now warn that Coinbase’s massive wallet restructuring has severely skewed the data. The exchange moved nearly 800,000 BTC in late November, creating artificial signals across multiple blockchain analytics platforms.
This technical artifact has led to misleading conclusions about investor behavior during the current market cycle.
Coinbase executed substantial Bitcoin transfers on November 22 and 23 when prices hovered around $85,000.
The exchange destroyed existing long-term holder UTXOs and generated new ones during these operations. Every major analytics platform incorporated this movement into their datasets without proper context.
The restructuring affected numerous critical metrics that traders rely on for market analysis. UTXO-based measurements, time and value cohorts, and short-term holder cost basis all absorbed the impact.
Realized value calculations and volume assessments also showed distorted readings following the transfers.
Bloomberg and other mainstream outlets reported the apparent long-term holder selling spree based on these metrics.
Darkfost, a blockchain analyst, challenged this narrative through manual data verification. His adjusted analysis removed Coinbase-related transactions to reveal the actual market dynamics.
The corrected data present a markedly different picture of long-term holder behavior. After filtering out Coinbase’s technical movements, distribution patterns align with previous bull market cycles.
Long-term holders have resumed some selling activity, but volumes remain within normal historical ranges.
The analyst emphasized the importance of contextual analysis when interpreting blockchain data.
Raw metrics can mislead market participants if analysts fail to account for exchange operations. Major wallet restructuring events require careful examination before concluding on investor sentiment.
Professional analysts bear responsibility for data accuracy since their work influences major media narratives. Trusted accounts share these analyses with broad audiences who make trading decisions based on the findings.
The Coinbase incident demonstrates how technical operations can create false signals without proper verification.
Bitcoin market dynamics continue to follow established patterns despite the initial confusion. Long-term holders maintain their typical behavior throughout this cycle.
The episode serves as a reminder that blockchain analytics require rigorous methodology and expert interpretation.
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