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Hut 8’s AI data center deal is bigger than meets the eye: Benchmark lifts price target to $85

2025/12/22 22:13
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Hut 8’s AI data center deal is bigger than meets the eye: Benchmark lifts price target to $85

Shares of the bitcoin miner jumped higher last week on its $7 billion pact with Google-backed Fluidstack.

By Will Canny, AI Boost|Edited by Stephen Alpher
Dec 22, 2025, 2:13 p.m.
Hut 8’s AI data center deal isn’t just big. It’s built differently, Benchmark says. (Shutterstock, modified by CoinDesk)

What to know:

  • Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer said Hut 8’s $7 billion, 15-year Fluidstack lease at River Bend underscores its shift toward institutional-grade digital infrastructure.
  • Google’s payment backstop and expansion/renewal options could see the potential contract value rising to about $17.7 billion, according to Palmer.
  • Palmer raised his Hut 8 price target to $85 from $78 and reiterated his buy rating on the stock.

Wall Street broker Benchmark said bitcoin miner Hut 8 (HUT) is using last week’s River Bend announcement to cement a shift from a crypto-first power owner into an institutional-grade digital infrastructure platform.

Analyst Mark Palmer said the structure, counterparties and cash-flow quality separate HUT's deal from the wave of recent AI data center agreements. He reiterated his buy rating on the stock and lifted his price target to $85 from $77, suggesting 93% upside from Friday's close of $44.12. Shares are higher by 2.8% premarket to $45.34.

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Last Wednesday, Hut 8 signed a $7 billion, 15-year AI data center lease with Fluidstack for its RIver Bend data center in Louisiana. Shares gained as much as 20% following the news.

"The transaction combined superior deal economics relative to peer deals, long-dated, investment-grade-backstopped cash flows, and multiple layers of embedded expansion optionality across three counterparties," Palmer said.

Palmer's sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation includes the River Bend lease value, potential future expansion capacity under a right of first offer granted to Fluidstack, Hut 8’s stake in American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC), and the bitcoin held on its balance sheet as of Sept. 30.

Palmer said a key point is timing. Management didn’t rush to monetize power assets early in the AI infrastructure land grab, waiting instead for a configuration that met internal return hurdles and strategic criteria.

He flagged the 15-year payment backstop from Google (GOOG) as a meaningful de-risking feature that, in his view, lowers counterparty risk while allowing Hut 8 to keep full economic ownership without warrants or equity sweeteners that have shown up in other deals.

The report noted that three five-year renewal options could lift total contract value to about $17.7 billion.

Benchmark said it values the initial 245 megawatt (MW) River Bend tranche at roughly $7.6 billion, reflecting contracted cash flows and the scarcity value of AI-ready power supported by an investment-grade backstop.

Rival broker Cantor Fitzgerald last week raised its Hut 8 price target to $72 from $64, while Canaccord raised its target to $62 from $54.

Read more: Hut 8 price target boosted at Cantor and Canaccord after Google-backed AI deal

Hut 8AIBitcoin MiningBenchmarkBitcoin News
AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

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