“Ten years ago, if you bought $10,000 of long‑term U.S. Treasury bonds and reinvested dividends, you’d have $9,793 today.
If you bought Bitcoin instead, it would be worth $2,125,344.”“Ten years ago, if you bought $10,000 of long‑term U.S. Treasury bonds and reinvested dividends, you’d have $9,793 today.
If you bought Bitcoin instead, it would be worth $2,125,344.”
Saifedean Ammous: Bitcoin vs. U.S. Treasuries — A 10‑Year Comparison
News Brief
“Ten years ago, if you bought $10,000 of long‑term U.S. Treasury bonds and reinvested dividends, you’d have $9,793 today.
If you bought Bitcoin instead, it would be worth $2,125,344.”
Economist and The Bitcoin Standard author Saifedean Ammous highlighted a stark contrast in long‑term performance:
“Ten years ago, if you bought $10,000 of long‑term U.S. Treasury bonds and reinvested dividends, you’d have $9,793 today.
If you bought Bitcoin instead, it would be worth $2,125,344.”
What This Comparison Shows
- Long‑term U.S. Treasuries:
- ~$10,000 → $9,793 (real loss of capital even before inflation)
- Bitcoin:
- ~$10,000 → $2.1M+
The gap illustrates the difference between:
- A debt‑based, inflation‑sensitive asset
- A fixed‑supply, high‑volatility but high‑conviction asset
Why Treasuries Underperformed
Over the past decade:
- Interest rates rose sharply, crushing long‑duration bond prices
- Yields failed to keep up with inflation for long stretches
- “Risk‑free” did not mean “return‑free of purchasing‑power loss”
Why Bitcoin Outperformed
Bitcoin benefited from:
- Adoption growth from near‑zero institutional participation
- A hard supply cap of 21 million coins
- Network effects compounding over time
- Increasing recognition as a store‑of‑value asset
The trade‑off, of course, was extreme volatility along the way.
Important Caveats
- This is a backward‑looking comparison, not a forecast
- Bitcoin’s past returns were aided by early‑adoption effects
- Treasuries serve different purposes (liquidity, collateral, stability)
Still, the contrast challenges assumptions about where long‑term value preservation has actually occurred.
Bottom Line
Saifedean Ammous’s comparison underscores a defining feature of the past decade: the traditional “safe” asset failed to preserve value, while a new, volatile digital asset dramatically compounded it. For many investors, that divergence has reshaped how risk, safety, and long‑term strategy are defined.
Market Opportunity
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Disclaimer: The articles published on this page are written by independent contributors and do not necessarily reflect the official views of MEXC. All content is intended for informational and educational purposes only and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile — please conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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