Solana (SOL) Price: Alpenglow Upgrade to Deliver 100x Faster Network Performance

TLDR

• Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade will make the network 100x faster by reducing finality time from 12.8 seconds to 100-150 milliseconds through off-chain vote aggregation
• SOL is currently trading at $138.55 with the Fear and Greed Index showing extreme fear at 25 points
• Technical analysis shows 19 out of 31 indicators bearish, with key support at $131-$133 and resistance around $137
• Price predictions target $149 by February 6, 2026, with longer-term forecasts ranging from $500 to potentially $10,000 if institutional adoption increases
• Solana’s improved speed positions it to compete with Ethereum layer-2s for real-world asset tokenization and institutional use cases

Solana’s upcoming Alpenglow hard fork is preparing to transform the network’s performance capabilities. The upgrade will make the blockchain 100x faster than its current configuration.

The Alpenglow hard fork represents a complete overhaul of Solana’s consensus mechanism. Validators will aggregate votes off-chain before submitting final confirmations.

This change enables blocks to finalize in one to two confirmation rounds. Finality latency will drop to 100-150 milliseconds from the previous 12.8 seconds.

Solana is currently trading at $138.55, showing a 3.76% increase over the past 24 hours. Trading volume remains above $10 billion, indicating sustained market interest.

The Fear and Greed Index sits at 25 points, reflecting extreme fear among investors. This sentiment follows a decline from Solana’s all-time high of $295.40 reached on January 19, 2025.

The token hit a cycle low of $96.09 before rallying to $252.85. That recovery failed to maintain momentum, leading to choppy price action in recent weeks.

Technical Indicators Paint Mixed Picture

Short-term technical signals lean bearish with 19 out of 31 indicators showing negative readings. The 50-day Simple Moving Average is projected to fall to $134.51.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average will be around $164.69 in the coming month. The RSI currently reads 56.98, indicating neutral supply and demand conditions.

Over the past month, SOL recorded green candles on half of trading days with volatility at 3.69%. Key support levels are positioned between $131 and $133.

Resistance is stopping price movement around $137. A break in either direction will likely determine the trend for coming weeks.

Network Improvements Target Institutional Use

The speed improvements from Alpenglow make Solana more competitive with traditional financial infrastructure. The network has already become a preferred platform for tokenized equity.

Enhanced performance positions Solana to compete with leading Ethereum layer-2 solutions like Ondo. This gives the network exposure to institutional adoption and real-world asset tokenization narratives.

A successful breakout above $210 resistance could trigger a measured 265% move toward $500. Further institutional adoption could push the price toward $1,000, representing a 625% increase.

Price predictions for February 6, 2026 target $149.10, representing an 11% gain from current levels. Full-year forecasts range from $134.45 to $170.70 with a mean price of $159.88.

Solana’s circulating supply stands at 563.4 million SOL with an annual inflation rate of 16.66%. More than 80 million tokens were produced last year.

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