Bitcoin made history in 2025 by closing its third year in the red for the first time in 14 years, shaking up its long-standing 4-year cycle and sparking debate among analysts.
Some believed a “super cycle” was emerging, while others thought Bitcoin had topped and a bear market was ahead.
CZ’s tweet, “Super Cycle incoming,” added fuel to the fire. He believed that Bitcoin’s future could be reshaped by institutional buying, especially with Wells Fargo’s recent $383 million Bitcoin purchase.
2 factors pushing Bitcoin ahead
Amid growing market uncertainty, Wells Fargo made headlines with its $383 million Bitcoin purchase in January 2026. This institutional move showed strong support for Bitcoin despite recent declines.
CZ retweeted the news, emphasizing that while retail investors were selling off, institutions like Wells Fargo were loading up on Bitcoin.
Source: X
he said, reflecting his continued optimism for Bitcoin’s growth.
Additionally, CZ saw the U.S. SEC’s decision to remove crypto from its 2026 priority risk list as a bullish signal, reinforcing his belief that Bitcoin [BTC] was entering a super cycle.
Source: X
This contrasted with those who argued that Bitcoin had peaked and was headed for a bear market.
Is Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle broken?
Bitcoin’s 2025 red close made many question the stability of its 14-year cycle.
Source: X
Historically, Bitcoin’s cycle has been marked by halvings followed by rallies and corrections. Yet, 2025 closed in red, leaving some to wonder whether the cycle was still valid.
CryptoFlow, however, argued that Bitcoin’s long-term pattern remained intact. They noted that previous cycles had followed a consistent 35-month trend from cycle bottom to cycle top.
Source: Crypto Flow
This could still hold, with the next cycle low possibly coming in October 2026.
Bitcoin ETFs played a pivotal role as institutional interest grew through these products, potentially influencing Bitcoin’s dynamics beyond the traditional cycle.
What’s next for Bitcoin in 2026?
Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture. 2026 is set to usher in a 5-year super cycle driven by institutional adoption, increased ETF inflows, and extreme demand.
These factors could reshape Bitcoin’s future, but the coming months will determine its trajectory.
Final Thoughts
- The 4-year cycle that Bitcoin has followed for over 14 years faces new challenges with growing institutional involvement.
- 2026 may mark the start of a new growth phase, potentially reshaping Bitcoin’s future.
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/czs-super-cycle-prediction-is-bitcoin-breaking-its-4-year-cycle/
