BTC January 15, 2026: Approaching Critical Resistance in the Uptrend

Bitcoin is maintaining a strong upward trend at 96.390 dollar levels, approaching the critical 97.250 dollar resistance barrier ahead. BTC, which tested the 97.924 dollar peak with a 0.91% gain in the daily timeframe, draws attention with bullish signals in momentum indicators, while the Supertrend’s bearish signal requires caution from a broader perspective. Market participants have already started talking about targets up to 115,000 dollars if this level is broken.

Market Outlook and Current Situation

The Bitcoin market is moving within a clear upward trend as of January 15, 2026. The current price is positioned at the 96.390 dollar level, with a 0.91% increase recorded in the last 24 hours. The trading range extended from 94.559 dollars to 97.924 dollars, with volume providing solid support at 29.10 billion dollars. This volume level reflects institutional and retail interest behind the trend; especially with short-term buyers entering, the price managed to hold well above EMA20 (91.926 dollars).

Looking at multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, a total of 11 strong levels are identified across the 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 3 supports/1 resistance on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, and a balanced 3 supports/3 resistances distribution on 1W. This confluence indicates the market is in a mature consolidation phase. The recently broken spot market BTC Spot Analysis dynamics reinforce buyer dominance, while leveraged positions in futures can increase volatility. In this period of calm news flow, technical factors are in the foreground; however, global macro risks should never be overlooked.

Bitcoin’s relative strength is increasing compared to altcoins across the market. As the dominance rate rises, ETH and other majors are lagging behind. This shows risk appetite shifting to BTC. While the stability in volume provides a positive signal for the trend’s sustainability, profit-taking from recent peaks could trigger short-term corrections. Investors should base leveraged strategies evaluated via BTC Futures Analysis on the stability provided by the spot market.

Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch

Support Zones

Support zones start with the strongest level according to the scoring system, 90.007 dollars (73/100 score). This level stands out as a confluence point where Fibonacci retracements intersect at the 0.618 ratio on the 1W and 3D timeframes. If the price pulls back here, aggressive buyer entry is expected; as this region has been tested multiple times in the past and provided recoveries. The next level up at 94.576 dollars (62/100) is positioned near the daily pivot and EMA50, serving as the first buffer for short-term corrections.

The nearest support lies just below the current price at 96.302 dollars (61/100 score). This zone is above the last 24-hour lows and shows dense accumulation in volume profiles. If the price holds this level, the uptrend remains healthy; otherwise, it could gain momentum toward 94.500. The strength of these supports comes from MTF confluence; for example, the 3 strong supports on 1D balance weak signals on lower timeframes, creating a solid foundation.

Resistance Barriers

The most critical resistance level stands just above the price at 97.250 dollars (90/100 score). This barrier, being a psychological threshold on 3D and 1W as well as at the 50% Fibonacci retracement of recent peaks, awaits a breakout. If broken, volume increase is expected, potentially leading to the Supertrend resistance at 104.000 dollars. The market probed this region by testing 97.924 in the last session; however, closes remained below, so a full breakout has not yet occurred.

Among upper resistances, 2 additional levels from MTF (3D and 1W) should be monitored for momentum continuation. Combined with the bearish Supertrend signal, these barriers strengthen the potential rejection scenario. According to historical data, pullbacks have occurred at a 60% rate at similar high-scoring resistances; therefore, traders should wait for volume and candle closes for breakout confirmation.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

RSI (68.57) is in the bullish zone but trading just below the overbought threshold (70). This level indicates a healthy trend, but caution is needed against divergence risk. RSI staying persistently above 50 on the daily chart confirms buyer dominance; however, there are slight slowdown signals on 4H. The MACD histogram is positive and has crossed above the signal line; this confirms momentum is still rising. Expansion above the zero line reinforces medium-term trend strength.

EMAs are bullish in the short term: Price is well above EMA20 (91.926 dollars), and golden cross formation with EMA50/100 is complete. However, the bearish Supertrend (resistance 104.084 dollars) signals weakness on higher timeframes. This contradiction reflects the balanced confluence on 1W. Overall trend strength is medium with ADX above 25; declining volatility gives a squeeze signal. Traders should watch for parabolic moves if RSI exceeds 70, or corrections if it drops below 60.

From an MTF perspective, daily bullish signals are balanced by weekly bearish bias. Staying above volume-weighted average price (VWAP) supports institutional buying. Overall, momentum indicators confirm the upside, but trend strength requires full consolidation.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

The risk/reward ratio is quite attractive from current levels: Bull target 115.000 dollars (approx. 19% return), bear target 80.000 dollars (17% loss). If 97.250 resistance breaks, R/R improves above 1:2; holding supports is ideal for long positions. However, the bearish Supertrend signal and RSI’s overbought approach suggest short-term short opportunities. With low volatility, sudden news flows (e.g., regulation) can increase risk.

In the positive scenario, resistance breakout carries to 104.000, then to the 115.000 target; supported by MTF support confluence. On the negative side, a break below 96.300 support tests 94.500 and 90.000, bringing potential 7-10% correction. Market makers’ spot volume weight supports trend continuation, while rising open interest in futures could trigger liquidity hunts. Traders should manage risk by placing stop-losses below supports; overall outlook is bullish but cautious.

Long-term uptrend intact; however, macro factors (interest rates, geopolitics) should be monitored. This analysis provides a data-driven framework, but remember market dynamics can change rapidly.