Bitcoin bets on Polymarket show elevated downside risk in 2026 as analysts point to bearish trends and tight US liquidity conditions.
Prediction markets have turned more bearish on Bitcoin, after a weekend sell-off briefly pushed prices below $75,000 on Monday.

On Polymarket, the odds of Bitcoin (BTC) falling below $65,000 in 2026 climbed to 72% on Monday, with almost $1 million in volume.
Other large wagers included bets on BTC dropping below $55,000 and reclaiming $100,000 by year-end, with implied probabilities of 61% and 54%, respectively.
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