XRP Price Outlook: Top Expert Sees XRP Rally to $7, Citing This Trend

Key Insights:

• XRP price is testing the $1.60 level as the 33 EMA and long-term trend converge on the monthly chart.
• Historical XRP crypto cycles show gains of 340% to 1,600% after similar EMA retests and liquidity grabs.
• A monthly close below $1.60 would signal structural weakness and potential cycle invalidation.

The XRP price remains under close watch as long-term technical levels face renewed testing. Market participants are assessing whether recent price action reflects a temporary liquidity event or a broader structural shift.

The focus has narrowed on the monthly chart behavior highlighted by analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, who outlined key scenarios tied to the 33-period exponential moving average. XRP recently traded near $1.59, according to live market data. The token posted a 24-hour gain of 1.07% on trading volume of about $3.9 billion.

XRP Price Holds Key EMA Level Amid Liquidity Tests

XRP price recently traded with a long-term technical confluence near $1.60–$1.61. This zone connects the central trend line with the 33 EMA on the monthly chart. The price of XRP dipped to $1.50 before closing above $1.60.

According to the analysis, XRP also gained liquidity near $1.64 before opening in February at around $1.66. This sequence marked what the analyst described as an initial liquidity grab. Historical chart behavior shows similar reactions at this level during prior cycles.

The 33 EMA has tracked beneath the price during sustained uptrends. Past rallies began once XRP reclaimed this moving average after extended consolidation. The current structure shows price hovering near this threshold rather than breaking decisively lower.

Historical Cycles Frame XRP Price Targets

The XRP price projection to $7 is based on historical cycle comparisons. EGRAG CRYPTO cited the 2021 market cycle, which delivered gains of about 340% following similar structural conditions. Applying that percentage to current levels produces a target near $7.

A second reference comes from the 2017 cycle. That period saw XRP rise by roughly 1,600% after extended compression. Using the same math points to a potential level near $27, though no timing was attached.

The analysis outlines two dominant paths from the current structure. One path suggests a relief bounce followed by a second liquidity sweep. The alternate path implies direct expansion without another deep retracement. Both paths rely on the same EMA and central line behavior.

Breakdown Risks and Market Structure Signals

EGRAG CRYPTO also addressed the downside scenario tied to the XRP price. A monthly close below $1.60 and beneath the 33 EMA would confirm structural weakness. The analyst described this outcome as a macro bear-market signal based on chart structure.

Such confirmation would imply trend deterioration and a reset in liquidity conditions. Historical XRP data shows that large rallies have occurred during bearish corrective phases. These moves followed periods of fear, forced selling, and compression.

Under this framework, a $1.60 loss could trigger panic selling. That outcome would mark the end of the current cycle structure. However, the analyst pointed out that a bearish structure does not necessarily imply uninterrupted declines.

The chart provided with the analysis shows XRP in a long-term rising pattern that can be traced back to the middle of the 2010s. The central line has been playing the role of overpowering support in various cycles. Every back-and-forth to this line was succeeded by fresh upward movements.

The chart shows past areas of accumulation, marked by shaded consolidation zones. Breakout candles over rising channels were the beginning of prolonged rallies. The existing arrangement depicts price experimenting with common spaces without nullifying the whole framework.