SOL Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Targets $110 by Mid-February

Lawrence Jengar
Feb 02, 2026 13:54

SOL trades at $103 with RSI at 28.89 signaling oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $110 resistance within two weeks despite bearish momentum.

SOL Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $110
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $95-$125 range
• Bullish breakout level: $126.40
• Critical support: $92.43

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Solana

While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current market cycle, recent forecasts from blockchain analysts remain cautiously optimistic. According to previous analysis from Rebeca Moen, SOL was targeting the $150 level based on technical resistance patterns. Darius Baruo had projected a $162 target within three weeks, though noted the wide range of analyst forecasts from bearish $30-40 levels to optimistic $184 projections.

According to on-chain data from major platforms, Solana’s current oversold condition presents a compelling technical setup for a potential reversal, though the broader trend remains under pressure.

SOL Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current SOL price prediction hinges on several critical technical factors. At $103.11, Solana is trading significantly below all major moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $113.92 and the 20-day SMA at $126.40. This positioning indicates sustained selling pressure over recent weeks.

The 14-period RSI at 28.89 places SOL firmly in oversold territory, historically a zone where bounce opportunities emerge. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled rather than reversed, suggesting any recovery may be gradual.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals SOL’s position at 0.0502, meaning the price sits extremely close to the lower band at $100.50. This compression often precedes volatility expansion, with the daily ATR of $7.80 confirming elevated price swings remain likely.

Key resistance levels for this Solana forecast include immediate resistance at $106.63 and stronger resistance at $110.15. The pivot point at $101.29 serves as the critical battleground level.

Solana Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

A SOL price prediction recovery scenario targets the $110.15 strong resistance level first, representing a 7% upside from current levels. Breaking above this level would open the path toward the 7-day SMA at $113.92, followed by the psychologically important $120 level.

The ultimate bullish target remains the 20-day SMA at $126.40, which would require sustained buying pressure and a clear break above the middle Bollinger Band. Technical confirmation would come from RSI climbing above 40 and MACD showing positive divergence.

Bearish Scenario

Downside risks for this Solana forecast center on the $92.43 strong support level. A break below this zone could trigger accelerated selling toward the $85-90 range, representing additional 15-20% downside.

The concerning factor remains SOL’s position below the 200-day SMA at $169.70, indicating the longer-term trend structure remains compromised. Volume patterns showing $671 million in 24-hour trading suggest institutional interest remains, but selling pressure could intensify on any broader crypto market weakness.

Should You Buy SOL? Entry Strategy

Current technical conditions suggest a measured approach to SOL positions. The oversold RSI reading provides tactical buying opportunity near the $100.50 lower Bollinger Band, with tight stop-loss placement below $95.

For aggressive traders, the $103-105 range offers risk-reward favorable entry, targeting the $110.15 resistance for 6-7% gains. Conservative investors might wait for confirmation above $110 before establishing positions.

Risk management remains crucial, with position sizing limited to 1-2% of portfolio given the uncertain macro environment. The Stochastic indicators at %K 18.49 and %D 14.79 support the oversold thesis but require confirmation through higher lows.

Conclusion

This SOL price prediction suggests a tactical bounce opportunity exists within the next 1-2 weeks, targeting the $110 resistance level with 65% confidence. The oversold technical setup provides compelling short-term upside, though the medium-term Solana forecast remains range-bound between $95-125 until broader crypto sentiment improves.

Traders should remain vigilant of the $92.43 support breakdown, which could invalidate the bounce thesis. As always, cryptocurrency price predictions carry significant uncertainty, and investors should conduct their own research and risk assessment before making trading decisions.

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