Crypto Market Up $100B, Bitcoin’s Next Move and Key Factors to Watch

After the liquidity-driven crypto market crash over the Feb. 1 weekend, the market is showing signs of recovery.

Bitcoin BTC $78 193 24h volatility: 0.9% Market cap: $1.56 T Vol. 24h: $59.48 B price is up 4% today, trading around $78,456, while top altcoins, led by Ethereum ETH $2 282 24h volatility: 0.4% Market cap: $275.41 B Vol. 24h: $34.97 B , have gained 4-5% each.

The rally comes as the US-India trade deal moves forward and geopolitical tensions ease, with the US and Iran scheduled to hold discussions on Feb. 6.

Crypto Market Adds $100 Billion in Recent Pump

On Feb. 2, the cryptocurrency market came under severe selling pressure with Bitcoin crashing to $75,000.

However, the market has bounced back, adding over $100 billion to its overall market cap in the last 24 hours.

According to Coinglass data, total liquidations reached $324 million in the last 24 hours, with $231 million coming from short positions. It will be interesting to see if this rally can sustain momentum moving forward.

The macro outlook looks positive as the US and India ease long-standing trade tensions. Both countries have agreed to a trade deal that reduces tariffs on India from 50% to 18%.

Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran appear to have eased somewhat. The Washington Post reports that White House special envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are expected to meet in Istanbul on Feb. 6.

The talks aim to ease tensions, prevent a potential U.S. military strike, and revive the nuclear agreement that stalled last June.

Turkey, Qatar, Egypt, and other Middle Eastern countries will mediate the diplomatic efforts.

On Monday, Feb. 2, White House officials met with crypto companies and banking representatives to try to break the deadlock over a crypto market structure bill.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: What’s Next?

After crashing all the way to $75,000, Bitcoin price is showing a relief recovery and is currently trading at $78,701.

On the weekly chart, BTC has slipped below both the 20-week and 50-week moving averages, signaling weak momentum.

Analyst Bull Theory outlined two primary scenarios. In the bullish case, Bitcoin holds the April 2025 low and forms a higher low around $75,000, keeping the broader uptrend intact.

A decisive weekly close back above the 50-week MA near $100,400 would suggest momentum has reset in favor of buyers.

In the bearish scenario, a break below the April 2025 low would invalidate the higher-low structure.

This creates downside risk for Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price toward the $50,000-$60,000 range.

The overall crypto market direction depends on whether Bitcoin can maintain $75,000 on weekly closes.

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