TIA Weekly Analysis Feb 3

TIA appears trapped within the main downtrend despite a limited weekly rise of 2.81%; consolidation in the $0.35-$0.39 range gives accumulation signals at critical supports, but BTC pressure is challenging altcoins. While the long-term outlook remains bearish, the $0.3310 support will be the breaking point.

TIA in the Weekly Market Summary

In the big picture, TIA is balanced at the $0.38 level under general market pressure despite developments in the Celestia ecosystem. The weekly change of +2.81% shows a modest recovery, but the $0.35-$0.39 trading range shows narrowing signs and volume profile remained limited at $49.50M. Primary trend confirmed as downtrend; RSI 34.81 near oversold region, MACD negative histogram preserving bearish momentum. Market structure indicates bearish short-term filter below EMA20 ($0.44). This week, we are in a phase testing trend structure with multi-timeframe confluence – accumulation or distribution will be decisive. For more detailed data, check the TIA detailed spot analysis page.

Trend Structure and Market Phases

Long-Term Trend Analysis

The long-term trend structure exhibits a clear downtrend; lower highs and lower lows sequence continues on higher timeframes (1W/1M). TIA remains below the $0.49 resistance trend filter, and bearish bias will stay intact unless this level is broken. Market structure shows signals of transition from distribution phase to accumulation in recent months, but altcoin season is delayed in the macro cycle – pressure increases with BTC dominance rise. According to Wyckoff methodology, we are in the secondary test phase; spring potential should be sought at $0.3310. Momentum indicators (RSI weekly around 34) have started showing divergence, but reversal is early as long as the trend filter is bearish.

Accumulation/Distribution Analysis

Volume profile analysis exhibits accumulation characteristics in the $0.35-$0.39 range – narrowing with low volume, POC (Point of Control) near $0.37. However, distribution patterns are emerging in the upper range ($0.39+): rejections seen with increasing selling volume. Weekly candles show indecisive doji-like closes; accumulation phase characteristics (higher lows, low volume rallies) are strengthening at supports, but a cap has formed at $0.4282 resistance. Market phase is close to re-accumulation but awaiting confirmation – upside breakout or downside breakdown will be decisive.

Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Daily Chart View

On the daily chart, TIA shows 9 strong level confluence: 2 supports ($0.3721, $0.3310) and 2 resistances ($0.3964, $0.4282) on 1D. Price trapped below EMA20 at $0.38, MACD histogram negative but slowing down. RSI daily around 35 carries oversold bounce potential; structure bearish with daily lower highs, but short-term relief rally possible if $0.3721 holds. Key inflection point $0.3964 – breakout confluence could impact weekly trend. For futures trading, follow TIA futures market data.

Weekly Chart View

From a weekly perspective, trend remains intact bearish: lower lows sequence continues, $0.3310 major support (score 76/100) with 2S/2R confluence on 1W. Weekly close $0.38, balanced in upper half of range but volume low. Supertrend bearish filter active, EMA50 ($0.50+) distant resistance. Multi-TF confluence expects strong rejection at $0.4282 – upside break could open objective to $0.5836 (score 6), otherwise downside risk to $0.0998 (score 22).

Critical Decision Points

Key levels will define direction: Major support $0.3310 (76/100) – if held, accumulation intact; if broken, cascade downtrend acceleration. Intermediate support $0.3721 (62/100), resistance $0.3964 (63/100) and $0.4282 (68/100). Trend remains intact as long as below $0.4282; above $0.3310 mandatory for bullish confluence. R/R calculation: Upside $0.5836 / Downside $0.0998, strategic R/R 1:4+ favors bearish scenario. Visit TIA and other analyses section for all analyses.

Weekly Strategy Recommendation

In Case of Rise

Bullish scenario: $0.3964 breakout and $0.4282 confirmation with EMA20 recapture. Target sequence $0.49 (trend filter), then $0.5836. For position traders, long entry above $0.3721 hold, stop below $0.3310. R/R 1:2+, scale-in with accumulation phase confirmation. BTC above $75,567 should be supportive.

In Case of Fall

Bearish scenario: $0.3721 breakdown to $0.3310 test, then cascade. Short entry below $0.3964 rejection, target $0.25 intermediate, final $0.0998. Stop above $0.4282. If distribution patterns strengthen, aggressive short with position sizing 2-3% risk. Downside risk high, portfolio protection priority.

Bitcoin Correlation

TIA shows high correlation with BTC (0.85+); BTC downtrend ($76,381, -2.31%) pressuring altcoins. If BTC key supports $72,946 / $69,326 break, TIA dragged to $0.3310 – supertrend bearish dominance increase caution signal. BTC resistance $75,567 / $78,048 breakout could trigger TIA relief rally, altseason momentum at $85,342. TIA traders should avoid longs below BTC $72k, selective buys above $78k.

Conclusion: Key Points for Next Week

To watch next week: $0.3310 support hold/break, $0.4282 resistance test, BTC $75k reaction. Accumulation confluence to be sought at $0.3721; bearish trend intact, multi-TF breakout required for reversal. Position traders, wait patiently at key levels – macro caution dominant.