How Low Can Bitcoin Go?

Bitcoin is crashing. There is no other way to put it. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is under $66,000. A month ago this seemed unimaginable, but here we are. This is Bitcoin, after all.

The question remains: how low can BTC actually go?

The short answer: We do not know. It can always go lower. However, here are the prevailing theories currently circulating on X, Reddit, and across the web.

5/100: Extreme Fear

We are currently at “Extreme Fear” on the CoinMarketCap Crypto Fear and Greed Index. The score is 5/100, placing the market well and truly in the red. This index often gives a better sense of the market’s mental state than the price itself, and right now, the sentiment is dark.

$76,000: The Saylor Line

This target was established early in the decline. It represents the estimated median price at which Michael Saylor of Strategy bought its Bitcoin. Dropping below this level puts his massive investment in the red, which is where things could begin to go wrong for his strategy. While the price has already dipped lower, the full story of this strategy has yet to be written.

Regardless of the price, Michael Saylor’s Strategy will keep buying Bitcoin.

$50,000: Michael Burry’s Warning

Acclaimed economist Michael Burry issued warnings in early February 2026, specifically flagging the low $50,000s (with $50,000 exactly cited by many) as a critical danger zone for the cryptocurrency. In times of economic uncertainty it is wise to heed the words of someone who has got it right before.

Some of us are too young to fully appreciate how devastating the 2008 Financial Crisis was, but Michael Burry forewarned of that collapse, and he is now warning about Bitcoin’s current situation. Even if you dont agree with everything he has to say, Michael Burry is someone worth following.

$24,000: The Nightmare Scenario

This is the most extreme floor currently being discussed. Originating from a post on Reddit by u/Ryanopoly titled “Bitcoin to $20,000 to $24,000 by December 31, 2026,” the argument links Bitcoin’s price movement to the stability of MicroStrategy stock.

The theory suggests: “Once MicroStrategy goes tits up, Bitcoin is going to follow the same drop it did once FTX went down for the count in late 2022.” This reflects the deep negativity of the current market climate. This is the fear and uncertainty out there in the market, and this is our ultimate low Bitcoin price.

How low can Bitcoin go?

We are in a crash. How low will Bitcoin actually go? We will be following it too much over the next days, weeks, and months to see how low it can go, and why.

It is worth remember at this time of the previous Bitcoin crashes that have taken place throughout time.

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