XRP Price Prediction Eyes $1.20 Dip Before Bounce as Traders Map Liquidity Zones

Key Insights:

• XRP price prediction models from multiple traders converge on a $1.20-$1.30 test before a reversal, with targets ranging from $1.80 to $2.50 by mid-2026.
• Ripple announced new custody partnerships with Securosys and Figment on February 9. That framed infrastructure as institution-ready ahead of XRP Community Day on February 11-12.
• Technical setups show fresh short liquidity walls above current prices, with traders anticipating a sweep of lower support zones to build higher lows before upside continuation.

XRP is sliding into the low-$1s, driven more by macro risk-off and leverage unwinds than by any single XRP-specific shock. Still, traders are staring at a crowded catalyst calendar for Ripple and the XRPL.

Within the past 24 hours, Ripple announced new custody partnerships with Securosys and Figment and positioned the upgrade as making Ripple Custody more institution-ready, reinforcing the narrative that Ripple is building regulated plumbing for institutions.

The nearer-term watch item is Feb. 11-12’s XRP Community Day, where Ripple says it will outline 2026 priorities around regulated finance, wrapped assets, and cross-chain liquidity.

Additionally, the firm has teased a “Tokenized Finance on the XRPL Announcement,” giving the market a reason to treat any dip-and-reclaim around $1.30-$1.20 as a tactical setup into an event.

XRP Price Eyes $1.20-$1.30 Liquidity Sweep

ChartNerd posted on February 9 an XRP price prediction targeting a sweep of the $1.30-$1.20 zone to build a higher low, then “wreck the short-liquidity-wall above to clear the path back to $1.80.”

The chart showed a heatmap with concentrated short positions layered above the current price. That suggests traders positioned for downside are vulnerable to a squeeze if XRP reclaims key resistance.

Trader Capt. Parabolic Toblerone, shared on February 6, presented an XRP price projection using Elliott Wave counts, mapping the current pullback as a corrective wave with a potential new low in February, followed by a reversal.

The forecast targets a local top at $2.50 by mid-May 2026, implying the $1.20-$1.30 zone is a waveform low rather than a breakdown.

Crypto Tony posted on February 9, requesting “that dip to $1.35 please,” then “we can reverse and send it later on.” The chart highlighted $1.35 as a tactical support level that traders are watching for entry, consistent with the broader theme that the market is hunting liquidity before positioning for the February 11-12 event window.

On February 9, Robert Mercer shared a three-day chart forecasting XRP at $1.10 “very soon,” with a broader support zone between $1.04 and $1.12.

The projection extends a downward arrow toward that zone before an implied bounce. It’s framing the $1.10 area as the lower boundary, with traders pricing a capitulation wick.

XRP Price Faces Macro and Leverage Overhang

Reuters reported a sharp risk-off move across crypto markets, tied to broader market volatility, with forced liquidations as a key driver. XRP’s downside legs in this window have been accompanied by long liquidations. It is consistent with a deleveraging flush rather than a single fundamental break.

Ripple unlocked roughly 1 billion XRP from escrow on February 1 as part of its monthly routine. XRPL’s official escrow explainer states that Ripple’s escrow structure was designed to release up to 1 billion XRP per month, with any unused amounts potentially placed into new escrows.

That is likely why the market often treats “month-turn” as a recurring supply headline even when net distribution is smaller.

Ripple Infrastructure Push Frames Medium-Term Narrative

Ripple announced new partnerships and integrations for Ripple Custody, including Securosys for HSM options and Figment for staking for custody clients, framing this as “production-ready custody infrastructure” for regulated institutions.

It positions XRP as part of the stack it “leverages across these solutions,” so traders often treat institutional plumbing announcements as medium-term narrative support.

On February 4, Ripple said Ripple Prime added support for Hyperliquid, positioning it as institutional access to on-chain derivatives liquidity within a prime brokerage framework.

That reinforces the same institutional story traders keep mapping onto the XRP price: Ripple is trying to be an “enterprise plumbing” provider across custody, liquidity, and market access.

On February 2, Ripple received full approval from the CSSF for an Electronic Money Institution license in Luxembourg, positioning it to scale Ripple Payments across the EU. This is Ripple-the-company regulatory progress, part of the thesis that Ripple’s regulated footprint helps pull XRPL use cases toward institutional lanes.

Ripple is hosting XRP Community Day on February 11-12 and says it will share “2026 priorities” around regulated finance, wrapped assets, and cross-chain liquidity, with an agenda that includes a “Tokenized Finance on the XRPL Announcement” slot.

That provides clear framing for why chart traders are watching liquidity pools now: the XRP price is sliding into a known event in which Ripple is pre-signaling its roadmap and “capital markets” messaging.

Ripple’s “Institutional DeFi” write-up outlines near-term feature themes, including Smart Escrows and MPT DEX integration. It states that an “Institutional DeFi Portal” is “launching February,” while positioning XRP as “at the center” of the composable stack.

The XRP price prediction convergence among ChartNerd, Capt. Parabolic Toblerone, Crypto Tony, and Robert Mercer center on a test of the $1.20-$1.30 zone before a reversal.

The structural case traders are building is that a liquidity sweep of that support range clears overleveraged longs, builds a higher low on the chart, and sets up a short squeeze if spot reclaims resistance into the February 11-12 Community Day window.

XRP price traded at $1.44 as of press time, up by 0.85% in the past 24 hours, with traders positioning for a final flush before the event-driven reversal scenario plays out.