UNI Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Could Target $4.13 by March 2026
Luisa Crawford Feb 12, 2026 15:28
Uniswap (UNI) trades at $3.38 after an 11% drop, with RSI at 28.94 signaling oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $4.13 resistance level.
Uniswap (UNI) has experienced significant selling pressure, dropping 11.03% in the past 24 hours to trade at $3.38. With key technical indicators flashing oversold signals, crypto traders are watching for potential reversal opportunities in the leading decentralized exchange token.
UNI Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $3.76 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.16-$4.13 range • Bullish breakout level: $4.13 • Critical support: $2.94
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current timeframe, recent forecasts from early January provide some context. According to Peter Zhang's analysis from January 9, 2026, UNI showed bearish momentum at $5.40 with RSI at 41.60, suggesting a potential bounce to $6.29 if support levels held. However, the current price action indicates those support levels failed to maintain.
CoinCodex had projected UNI reaching $5.85 by January 13, 2026, representing 7.20% growth from their analysis point. The actual price movement has deviated significantly from these earlier Uniswap forecasts, highlighting the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets.
On-chain data suggests increased selling pressure, with 24-hour volume reaching $69.7 million on Binance spot markets, indicating active participation during the recent decline.
UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current UNI price prediction is heavily influenced by oversold technical conditions. The RSI (14-period) sits at 28.94, well below the 30 threshold that typically signals oversold territory and potential bounce opportunities.
Uniswap's moving averages paint a bearish picture across all timeframes. The current price of $3.38 trades below the 7-day SMA ($3.45), 20-day SMA ($3.96), 50-day SMA ($4.93), and significantly under the 200-day SMA ($7.09). This alignment suggests sustained bearish momentum.
The MACD indicator shows a histogram reading of 0.0000, indicating neutral momentum after recent bearish pressure. The MACD line at -0.4660 remains negative, confirming the overall downtrend.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals UNI trading near the lower band at $2.86, with the current position at 0.24 (where 0 represents the lower band and 1 the upper band). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $3.96.
Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
If UNI can establish support above the current $3.16 level, a bounce toward immediate resistance at $3.76 becomes likely. A break above this level could target the strong resistance zone at $4.13, representing approximately 22% upside potential.
The oversold RSI condition provides the primary bullish catalyst, as historical patterns suggest UNI often rebounds when RSI drops below 30. Volume confirmation above $80 million would strengthen the bullish case.
For a more aggressive Uniswap forecast, breaking above $4.13 could open the path toward the middle Bollinger Band at $3.96, though this seems contradictory to current positioning. More realistically, sustained movement above $4.13 could target the 20-day SMA at $3.96.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold immediate support at $3.16 could accelerate selling toward the strong support level at $2.94. This represents an additional 13% downside risk from current levels.
A break below $2.94 would likely trigger stops and could push UNI toward the lower Bollinger Band at $2.86. Given the significant distance from longer-term moving averages, further weakness cannot be ruled out.
The bearish scenario gains credence if volume remains elevated during any bounce attempts, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation.
Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy
For traders considering UNI positions, the current oversold conditions present a calculated opportunity. A staged entry approach appears most prudent:
Initial Entry: $3.30-$3.40 range (current levels) Add Position: On successful hold of $3.16 support Stop Loss: Below $2.90 (tight risk management) Take Profit: $3.76 (first target), $4.13 (extended target)
Risk management remains crucial given UNI's 43% average true range over 14 periods, indicating substantial daily volatility. Position sizing should account for potential $0.43 daily moves.
Conclusion
The UNI price prediction for the coming weeks hinges on whether oversold technical conditions can generate a meaningful bounce. While the immediate setup appears constructive for a relief rally toward $3.76-$4.13, the broader trend remains challenged with price trading well below key moving averages.
Traders should approach Uniswap with appropriate risk management, as cryptocurrency markets can extend beyond traditional technical boundaries. The oversold RSI provides the most compelling near-term bullish signal, but confirmation through volume and price action remains essential.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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