Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions. The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions. Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend.
Key Takeaways
- Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions.
- The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions.
- Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend.
- The breakdown of a long-term trading channel in bonds during COVID was a critical caution signal.
- The risk parity strategy failed in 2022 as both stocks and bonds sold off simultaneously.
- Liquidity conditions significantly influence which asset classes to trade.
- Trades should be selected for their potential to succeed now or in the future.
- Traders must sometimes adapt to market movements without understanding the reasons.
- Silver pricing is driven by market sentiment rather than mathematical formulas.
- Simplicity in trading strategies helps avoid unnecessary complexity and losses.
- The economic climate and liquidity environment are crucial for strategic trading decisions.
- Market psychology plays a significant role in asset price movements.
Guest intro
Alex Gurevich is the Founder and CIO of HonTe Advisors, LLC. He previously served as Managing Director of global macro trading at JPMorgan. He is the bestselling author of The Next Perfect Trade.
The potential return to zero interest rates
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Current economic climate suggests a potential decline in interest rates.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The prediction is based on the decay of the job market and financial impulses.
- Understanding economic conditions is crucial for anticipating interest rate movements.
- A return to zero interest rates could impact various financial markets.
- The prediction is made with high confidence due to current market conditions.
- Traders should consider the implications of potentially lower interest rates.
The breakdown of long-term bond market trends
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The 30-year uptrend in bonds is starting to decline.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Historical bond market trends provide context for current economic shifts.
- The breakdown signals a potential change in investment strategies.
- This trend shift is essential for understanding economic dynamics.
- Traders should be aware of the implications of a declining bond market.
- The insight is provided with high confidence based on historical trends.
Parabolic rallies following slow upward trends
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Slow upward trends often precede rapid price increases.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Market psychology influences asset price movements.
- Understanding historical trends aids in predicting market behavior.
- Traders should prepare for potential parabolic rallies.
- The insight is valuable for traders and investors monitoring asset prices.
- The prediction is based on historical market behavior patterns.
The COVID rally and bond trading channels
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The COVID rally disrupted long-term bond trading channels.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Historical bond market trends provide context for trading strategies.
- The breakdown was a pivotal moment in market behavior.
- Traders should have exercised caution during the COVID rally.
- The insight highlights the importance of monitoring trading channels.
- The claim is made with high confidence based on historical market data.
The failure of the risk parity strategy in 2022
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Both stock and bond markets sold off simultaneously in 2022.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The failure challenges established investment strategies.
- Understanding the risk parity strategy is crucial for traders.
- The insight explains a significant shift in market behavior.
- Traders should reassess the reliability of the risk parity strategy.
- The breakdown is a critical consideration for financial markets.
Liquidity and asset class decisions
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Liquidity conditions influence asset performance.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Understanding liquidity is essential for strategic trading.
- Traders should consider liquidity when selecting asset classes.
- The insight provides a framework for making trading decisions.
- Liquidity impacts global economic growth and asset selection.
- The explanation is provided with high confidence based on market conditions.
Long-term perspectives on trading
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Long-term perspectives are crucial for strategic trading.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Timing is important in asset performance.
- Traders should balance immediate and future market conditions.
- The opinion emphasizes strategic asset selection.
- Long-term perspectives help navigate market fluctuations.
- The insight reflects a strategic approach to trading.
Accepting market movements without full understanding
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Market movements can be unpredictable.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Adaptability is crucial in trading.
- Risk management is necessary in uncertain markets.
- The insight reflects a pragmatic trading approach.
- Traders should be prepared for market uncertainty.
- The opinion emphasizes the importance of adaptability.
Silver pricing and market sentiment
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Silver pricing is influenced by market sentiment.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Understanding market sentiment is crucial for commodity pricing.
- The insight highlights the subjective nature of pricing.
- Traders should consider market psychology in pricing strategies.
- Silver pricing reflects broader market dynamics.
- The opinion emphasizes sentiment over rigid calculations.
The importance of simplicity in trading
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Complex trading strategies can lead to losses.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Simplicity aids in effective decision-making.
- Traders should avoid unnecessary complexity in strategies.
- The insight emphasizes the importance of simplicity.
- Simple strategies help manage trading risks.
- The opinion reflects a critical perspective for traders.
Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions. The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions. Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend.
Key Takeaways
- Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions.
- The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions.
- Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend.
- The breakdown of a long-term trading channel in bonds during COVID was a critical caution signal.
- The risk parity strategy failed in 2022 as both stocks and bonds sold off simultaneously.
- Liquidity conditions significantly influence which asset classes to trade.
- Trades should be selected for their potential to succeed now or in the future.
- Traders must sometimes adapt to market movements without understanding the reasons.
- Silver pricing is driven by market sentiment rather than mathematical formulas.
- Simplicity in trading strategies helps avoid unnecessary complexity and losses.
- The economic climate and liquidity environment are crucial for strategic trading decisions.
- Market psychology plays a significant role in asset price movements.
Guest intro
Alex Gurevich is the Founder and CIO of HonTe Advisors, LLC. He previously served as Managing Director of global macro trading at JPMorgan. He is the bestselling author of The Next Perfect Trade.
The potential return to zero interest rates
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Current economic climate suggests a potential decline in interest rates.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The prediction is based on the decay of the job market and financial impulses.
- Understanding economic conditions is crucial for anticipating interest rate movements.
- A return to zero interest rates could impact various financial markets.
- The prediction is made with high confidence due to current market conditions.
- Traders should consider the implications of potentially lower interest rates.
The breakdown of long-term bond market trends
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The 30-year uptrend in bonds is starting to decline.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Historical bond market trends provide context for current economic shifts.
- The breakdown signals a potential change in investment strategies.
- This trend shift is essential for understanding economic dynamics.
- Traders should be aware of the implications of a declining bond market.
- The insight is provided with high confidence based on historical trends.
Parabolic rallies following slow upward trends
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Slow upward trends often precede rapid price increases.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Market psychology influences asset price movements.
- Understanding historical trends aids in predicting market behavior.
- Traders should prepare for potential parabolic rallies.
- The insight is valuable for traders and investors monitoring asset prices.
- The prediction is based on historical market behavior patterns.
The COVID rally and bond trading channels
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The COVID rally disrupted long-term bond trading channels.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Historical bond market trends provide context for trading strategies.
- The breakdown was a pivotal moment in market behavior.
- Traders should have exercised caution during the COVID rally.
- The insight highlights the importance of monitoring trading channels.
- The claim is made with high confidence based on historical market data.
The failure of the risk parity strategy in 2022
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Both stock and bond markets sold off simultaneously in 2022.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- The failure challenges established investment strategies.
- Understanding the risk parity strategy is crucial for traders.
- The insight explains a significant shift in market behavior.
- Traders should reassess the reliability of the risk parity strategy.
- The breakdown is a critical consideration for financial markets.
Liquidity and asset class decisions
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Liquidity conditions influence asset performance.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Understanding liquidity is essential for strategic trading.
- Traders should consider liquidity when selecting asset classes.
- The insight provides a framework for making trading decisions.
- Liquidity impacts global economic growth and asset selection.
- The explanation is provided with high confidence based on market conditions.
Long-term perspectives on trading
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Long-term perspectives are crucial for strategic trading.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Timing is important in asset performance.
- Traders should balance immediate and future market conditions.
- The opinion emphasizes strategic asset selection.
- Long-term perspectives help navigate market fluctuations.
- The insight reflects a strategic approach to trading.
Accepting market movements without full understanding
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Market movements can be unpredictable.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Adaptability is crucial in trading.
- Risk management is necessary in uncertain markets.
- The insight reflects a pragmatic trading approach.
- Traders should be prepared for market uncertainty.
- The opinion emphasizes the importance of adaptability.
Silver pricing and market sentiment
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Silver pricing is influenced by market sentiment.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Understanding market sentiment is crucial for commodity pricing.
- The insight highlights the subjective nature of pricing.
- Traders should consider market psychology in pricing strategies.
- Silver pricing reflects broader market dynamics.
- The opinion emphasizes sentiment over rigid calculations.
The importance of simplicity in trading
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Complex trading strategies can lead to losses.
-
— Alex Gurevich
- Simplicity aids in effective decision-making.
- Traders should avoid unnecessary complexity in strategies.
- The insight emphasizes the importance of simplicity.
- Simple strategies help manage trading risks.
- The opinion reflects a critical perspective for traders.
Loading more articles…
You’ve reached the end
Add us on Google
`;
}
function createMobileArticle(article) {
const displayDate = getDisplayDate(article);
const editorSlug = article.editor ? article.editor.toLowerCase().replace(/\s+/g, ‘-‘) : ”;
const captionHtml = article.imageCaption ? `
${article.imageCaption}
` : ”;
const authorHtml = article.isPressRelease ? ” : `
`;
return `
${captionHtml}
${article.subheadline ? `
${article.subheadline}
` : ”}
${createSocialShare()}
${authorHtml}
${displayDate}
${article.content}
`;
}
function createDesktopArticle(article, sidebarAdHtml) {
const editorSlug = article.editor ? article.editor.toLowerCase().replace(/\s+/g, ‘-‘) : ”;
const displayDate = getDisplayDate(article);
const captionHtml = article.imageCaption ? `
${article.imageCaption}
` : ”;
const categoriesHtml = article.categories.map((cat, i) => {
const separator = i < article.categories.length – 1 ? ‘|‘ : ”;
return `${cat}${separator}`;
}).join(”);
const desktopAuthorHtml = article.isPressRelease ? ” : `
`;
return `
${categoriesHtml}
${article.subheadline}
` : ”}
${desktopAuthorHtml}
${displayDate}
${createSocialShare()}
${captionHtml}
`;
}
function loadMoreArticles() {
if (isLoading || !hasMore) return;
isLoading = true;
loadingText.classList.remove(‘hidden’);
// Build form data for AJAX request
const formData = new FormData();
formData.append(‘action’, ‘cb_lovable_load_more’);
formData.append(‘current_post_id’, lastLoadedPostId);
formData.append(‘primary_cat_id’, primaryCatId);
formData.append(‘before_date’, lastLoadedDate);
formData.append(‘loaded_ids’, loadedPostIds.join(‘,’));
fetch(ajaxUrl, {
method: ‘POST’,
body: formData
})
.then(response => response.json())
.then(data => {
isLoading = false;
loadingText.classList.add(‘hidden’);
if (data.success && data.has_more && data.article) {
const article = data.article;
const sidebarAdHtml = data.sidebar_ad_html || ”;
// Check for duplicates
if (loadedPostIds.includes(article.id)) {
console.log(‘Duplicate article detected, skipping:’, article.id);
// Update pagination vars and try again
lastLoadedDate = article.publishDate;
loadMoreArticles();
return;
}
// Add to mobile container
mobileContainer.insertAdjacentHTML(‘beforeend’, createMobileArticle(article));
// Add to desktop container with fresh ad HTML
desktopContainer.insertAdjacentHTML(‘beforeend’, createDesktopArticle(article, sidebarAdHtml));
// Update tracking variables
loadedPostIds.push(article.id);
lastLoadedPostId = article.id;
lastLoadedDate = article.publishDate;
// Execute any inline scripts in the new content (for ads)
const newArticle = desktopContainer.querySelector(`article[data-article-id=”${article.id}”]`);
if (newArticle) {
const scripts = newArticle.querySelectorAll(‘script’);
scripts.forEach(script => {
const newScript = document.createElement(‘script’);
if (script.src) {
newScript.src = script.src;
} else {
newScript.textContent = script.textContent;
}
document.body.appendChild(newScript);
});
}
// Trigger Ad Inserter if available
if (typeof ai_check_and_insert_block === ‘function’) {
ai_check_and_insert_block();
}
// Trigger Google Publisher Tag refresh if available
if (typeof googletag !== ‘undefined’ && googletag.pubads) {
googletag.cmd.push(function() {
googletag.pubads().refresh();
});
}
} else if (data.success && !data.has_more) {
hasMore = false;
endText.classList.remove(‘hidden’);
} else if (!data.success) {
console.error(‘AJAX error:’, data.error);
hasMore = false;
endText.textContent=”Error loading more articles”;
endText.classList.remove(‘hidden’);
}
})
.catch(error => {
console.error(‘Fetch error:’, error);
isLoading = false;
loadingText.classList.add(‘hidden’);
hasMore = false;
endText.textContent=”Error loading more articles”;
endText.classList.remove(‘hidden’);
});
}
// Set up IntersectionObserver
const observer = new IntersectionObserver(function(entries) {
if (entries[0].isIntersecting) {
loadMoreArticles();
}
}, { threshold: 0.1 });
observer.observe(loadingTrigger);
})();
© Decentral Media and Crypto Briefing® 2026.
Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/alex-gurevich-interest-rates-may-return-to-zero-the-long-term-bond-market-trend-is-breaking-down-and-parabolic-rallies-follow-slow-upward-trends-forward-guidance/
