SAND is approaching a critical turning point at the 0.09 dollar level with daily gains over 5%; however, under the falling trend line and Bitcoin’s pressure, the bull rally may remain limited without breaking the 0.0987 resistance.
Market Outlook and Current Situation
As of February 14, 2026, SAND is trading at the 0.09 dollar level and attracting attention with a 5.19% rise in the last 24 hours. Daily trading volume has reached 24.31 million dollars, while the price range is quite narrow – squeezed between 0.09 dollars and 0.09 dollars. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase; the overall trend is still continuing downward. SAND’s short-term weakness is reinforced by its inability to hold above EMA20 (0.10 dollars) and the Supertrend indicator’s bearish signal. While the market has been negatively affected by altcoin rotation in recent weeks, SAND has the potential to find support from developments in the The Sandbox ecosystem, but the sustainability of the volume increase remains questionable.
Looking at the multi-timeframe (MTF) context, a total of 11 strong levels were identified across the 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 2S/1R on 3D, and 2S/2R confluence on 1W. This shows that SAND is trying to form a structural base. Bitcoin’s downtrend around 69,860 dollars is creating pressure on altcoins, and SAND is also feeling this correlation. The 5% increase in volume reflects short-term buyer interest, but overall market sentiment is cautious; RSI at 42.82 is hovering in the neutral zone while the MACD histogram has turned positive.
SAND’s market cap and ranking position remain competitive among metaverse-focused projects; however, the 30% drop in recent months appears to have shaken investor confidence. The daily candlestick formation shows doji-like indecision, which could be a warning before increased volatility. You can examine these dynamics more closely by checking the detailed charts on the SAND Spot Analysis page.
Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch
Support Zones
The strongest support level is at 0.0857 dollars (score: 68/100), a region that has passed high-volume tests on 1D and 3D timeframes. This level coincides with the Fibonacci retracement 38.2% line and forms a dense base in volume profile analysis. If broken, the next critical support at 0.0804 dollars (score: 65/100) will come into play; this point is strengthened by the weekly pivot and previous swing lows. These supports are also prominent on the 1W chart, meaning long-term buyers are likely to step in. However, the lower band of the falling trend channel will be tested here; if it fails to hold, a deeper correction could lead to 0.07 levels.
The strength of the support zones comes from MTF confluence: two levels on 1D, two more supportive on 3D. If volume increases concentrate in these zones, the reversal signal strengthens. Investors can minimize risk by placing stop-losses below 0.0857.
Resistance Barriers
The first resistance is at 0.0987 dollars (score: 70/100), coinciding with EMA20 and Supertrend resistance; upward momentum will remain limited unless this is broken. This level with the highest score is a strong rejection point on 1D. The second barrier is at 0.1042 dollars (score: 63/100), a region overlapping with pivots on 3D and 1W. If broken, movement toward the channel’s upper band could accelerate. The strength of the resistances indicates continued selling pressure; especially the Supertrend’s distant resistance at 0.12 dollars limits short-term targets.
Volume increases should be monitored during resistance tests: if broken with over 10% rise, the breakout is confirmed, and the bull scenario kicks in. Otherwise, false breakout risk is high.
Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength
RSI at 42.82 is not approaching oversold, balancing in the neutral zone; this shows momentum giving a recovery signal but it’s too early for overbought. The 14-day RSI is rising toward the 50 level, a sign of short-term strengthening. In MACD, the positive histogram carries potential to cross above the signal line; this is the first positive development since the bearish crossover. The growing histogram bars indicate buyers are slowly gaining dominance.
EMAs are in bearish alignment: Price below EMA20 (0.10$), with EMA50 (0.11$) and EMA200 (0.15$) higher up. No golden cross, death cross risk continues. Supertrend is bearish, but there’s flip potential with a daily close. Trend strength on ADX is around 25, reflecting a weak downtrend; OBV shows rising volume, positive divergence. Overall, momentum is shifting from neutral to bullish, but a trend change requires resistance breakout.
Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook
Bullish target at 0.1424 dollars (score:46) offers 58% return from current 0.09; bearish at 0.0310 dollars (score:22) carries 65% downside risk. R/R ratio is balanced, but probabilities favor bullish (higher score). Risks: Bitcoin downtrend and low volume. Outlook: Wait for 0.0987 breakout in short term, long bias if holding; support break is short opportunity. Check futures position strategies on SAND Futures Analysis. In the medium term, MTF supports could form a base, increased volatility likely.
Positive scenario: Resistance breakout with volume triggers metaverse hype. Negative: BTC drop tests 0.08. Always follow updates on SAND detailed analysis.
Bitcoin Correlation
SAND has 0.85% correlation with BTC; BTC’s downtrend (69,860$, +1.39%) is pressuring altcoins. BTC supports at 68,828$, 65,415$, 60,000$ are critical; a drop below pushes SAND to 0.08. Resistances at 71,248$, 75,162$, 78,145$; BTC Supertrend bearish, limiting SAND rally. If BTC holds above 70K, SAND can reach 0.10$; in a drop, correlation deepens.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/sand-technical-analysis-february-14-2026-market-commentary-support-resistance-and-price-targets


