TAO Technical Analysis Feb 18

TAO is holding above the EMA20 at the 193.40$ level, signaling a short-term recovery, but approaching the 197$ resistance. Lack of strong support increases downside risks, while Upbit KRW listing could be a positive catalyst.

Current Price Position and Critical Levels

TAO is currently trading at 193.40$ and moved in the 188.20$-199.80$ range with a 2.65% rise in the last 24 hours. Despite the overall downtrend, the price is positioned above EMA20 (189.02$), giving a short-term bullish signal. RSI at 49.09 is in neutral territory, while Supertrend is bearish and points to 246.82$ resistance. 10 strong levels were detected across multiple timeframes (MTF): 1D has 2 resistances, 3D has 2 supports/4 resistances, 1W has 2 supports/3 resistance confluences. This confluence, especially at resistances, indicates strong selling pressure. Volume is at a moderate 187.66M$, but Upbit’s TAO/KRW spot listing (Feb 16) could bring new liquidity inflow and support upside momentum. The price appears to be undergoing a correction within a broader downtrend; if 197$ resistance breaks, a move to the 240$ region is possible, otherwise the 189$ EMA could be tested.

Support Levels: Buyer Zones

Primary Support

The nearest primary support zone is located in the 189.02$-188.20$ range (score ~55, EMA20 and daily low confluence). This level overlaps with the last 24-hour low and 1D EMA20; volume increase was observed here and price was rejected twice. Why important? A demand block formation exists on the 3D timeframe – in the past (January 2026), a 15% bounce occurred from this region. Strengthened by multiple tests (3+ times) and Fibonacci 0.618 retracement. If broken, the next support at 180$-175$ (1W support, score 50+) comes into play, which aligns with 1W demand zone and volume profile POC.

Secondary Support and Stop Levels

Secondary supports are at 175$-170$ (3D support confluence, past order block) and 150$-145$ (liquidity collection zone after 1W low volume gap). These levels are critical for liquidity hunting in the downtrend; stop-loss recommended below 170$ (invalidation: daily close below 165$, trend change signal). Why important? High-volume nodes in the 1W chart’s volume profile are here, entry points for large buyers. In a deeper drop, 73.47$ is the main target (low score but psychological), though current structure does not support it.

Resistance Levels: Seller Zones

Near-Term Resistances

Near-term primary resistance at 197.0743$ (score 76/100, very strong). This level has full confluence with 1D/3D supply block, Fibonacci 0.382 extension, and recent high (199.80$). Why important? Tested 4 times, rejected each time with high volume (latest rejection Feb 17), sellers’ dominance is clear. Breakout requires daily close above and volume increase; otherwise, short squeeze risk is low.

Main Resistance and Targets

Main resistance at 240.1718$-246.82$ (score 60+, Supertrend resistance and 1W supply zone). This region is strengthened by 3D/1W confluence; in the past (December 2025), it triggered a 20% drop. Target: On breakout, 300.3282$ (long-term target, low score but liquidity target). Why important? Order flow analysis shows seller imbalance, large players may have accumulated short positions here. Invalidation: Weekly close above 250$.

Liquidity Map and Big Players

The liquidity map shows a large liquidity pool above 197$-200$ (stop-loss collection) – smart money may target it. Below, buyer liquidity at 188$-180$, but weak (low score). Big players (CEX flows) could develop long bias with KRW inflows after Upbit listing, but BTC dominance is suppressing. 1W imbalances point to 240$ seller block; short liquidity increases as price approaches. Overall outlook: Expect rejection at 197$ for liquidity grab, then downside.

Bitcoin Correlation

BTC at 68,224$ level and in downtrend (Supertrend bearish), high correlation with TAO (~0.85). If BTC loses 65,483$ support, TAO pulls to 180$; if 70,235$ resistance breaks, TAO could test 240$. BTC supports (62,910$, 60,000$) trigger 170$-150$ for TAO. Rising dominance crushes altcoins – stay cautious on TAO unless BTC reaches 78,145$. Main BTC levels: Support 65k, Resistance 70k.

Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy

Level-based outlook: Short bias below 197$ (targets 189$-180$, stop above 200$). On breakout, long (targets 240$-300$, stop below 195$). Risk/reward: Upside R/R 1:2.5 (193$ long, 240$ target), downside 1:3 (197$ short, 170$ target). For spot, check TAO Spot Page, for futures TAO Futures Page. This analysis is not investment advice; do your own research.