Tennessee barred from targeting Kalshi as judge favors federal swap rules here.
Court says sports outcomes can be ‘occurrences’ under Tennessee swap definition.
Judge accepts downstream economic impacts as meeting federal swap threshold.
Ruling highlights clash: Kalshi can’t satisfy state licenses and CFTC oversight.
With mixed court outcomes, Kalshi’s win may shape broader prediction market rules.
Kalshi gained a major legal boost as a federal judge blocked Tennessee from enforcing its sports gaming laws against the platform. The ruling strengthened Kalshi’s claim that its sports event contracts fall under federal commodities rules. It positioned the platform for a broader fight over national prediction market regulation.
Kalshi obtained a preliminary injunction that stopped Tennessee officials from applying local betting laws against its event contracts. The judge concluded that Kalshi is likely to prove its sports contracts qualify as swaps under federal law. The court stated that the outcome of a game can represent an occurrence under Tennessee’s definition.
The ruling noted potential economic effects tied to sports results, which aligned with swap requirements under the Commodity Exchange Act. Kalshi argued that downstream financial impacts meet the federal threshold, and the court accepted this reasoning. The judge determined that Kalshi cannot comply with both state licensing rules and CFTC oversight.
The court also held that federal rules must govern derivatives platforms without conflicting state demands. This framework supported Kalshi’s claim of exclusive federal jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act. The decision limited Tennessee’s attempts to regulate Kalshi as a sports wagering operator.
Kalshi continues to face resistance from several states that contest the legality of sports contracts offered on the platform. These states maintain that such contracts operate as unlicensed wagers under their local laws. Kalshi asserts that federal law preempts these restrictions because the contracts function as regulated swaps.
Multiple district courts have issued differing rulings, which created a fragmented landscape across the country. Tennessee now joins New Jersey as jurisdictions that granted Kalshi injunctive relief. Courts in Nevada and Maryland declined similar requests.
Ongoing motions in Ohio, New York, and Connecticut highlight the unsettled regulatory environment. Kalshi remains engaged in active litigation as federal and state interpretations continue to diverge. The firm’s arguments rely heavily on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s established authority over event contracts.
The CFTC reinforced its claim of exclusive jurisdiction in a recent appellate filing. That brief supported federal oversight in a related dispute involving Crypto.com and Nevada. Federal regulators signaled strong interest in preserving uniform control of prediction markets.
Kalshi offers binary event contracts across politics, sports, economics, and weather. The platform processes large trading volumes, and it recorded more than $9.5 billion in activity during January. This scale underscores the growing relevance of prediction markets within the broader derivatives sector.
Industry observers expect continued litigation as courts reconcile conflicting interpretations. Kalshi’s latest victory may influence upcoming rulings, although legal uncertainty remains. The Tennessee decision marked an important milestone in the company’s push for nationwide regulatory clarity.
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