Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Surges 8% on $40B Revenue Outlook and Analyst Upgrade

TLDR

• Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed at $32.16 on Thursday, up 8.25%, on heavy volume of 42.1 million shares
• The company reported $12.68 billion in quarterly net revenue, with AI platforms making up over 90% of sales
• Full-year guidance was raised to at least $40 billion, beating Wall Street estimates by roughly $2.13 billion
• A Seeking Alpha analyst upgraded SMCI to “strong buy,” pointing to margin expansion potential in its Data Center Building Block Solutions platform
• CEO Charles Liang and CFO David Weigand both bought shares in early February at around $33.33

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed Thursday at $32.16, up 8.25%, as investors responded to a strong earnings report, a raised revenue outlook, and a fresh analyst upgrade.

Super Micro Computer, Inc., SMCI

Trading volume hit 42.1 million shares, about 47% above the three-month average of 28.6 million. The stock also climbed back above its 50-day moving average, a level momentum traders watch closely.

The rally follows an earnings report from earlier this month that showed $12.68 billion in quarterly net revenue and $400.56 million in net income. More than 90% of that revenue came from AI platforms.

Management responded to those results by raising full-year guidance to at least $40 billion. That figure came in roughly $2.13 billion above what Wall Street had forecast.

A Seeking Alpha analyst upgraded SMCI to “strong buy” off the back of the results. The upgrade focused on operating leverage rather than just top-line growth, pointing specifically to the Data Center Building Block Solutions platform as a path to margin improvement.

The stock is still down nearly 45% from its October highs, even after Thursday’s move. But some investors are starting to view that gap as an opportunity.

Insider Buying Adds to the Bullish Case

CEO Charles Liang and CFO David Weigand both purchased company shares in early February at an average price of around $33.33. Insider buys at that level suggest leadership believes the stock is undervalued.

The current forward price-to-earnings multiple sits below 17 times. Analysts describe that as unusually low for a company this deeply embedded in AI infrastructure build-out.

Wall Street’s consensus rating on SMCI is “Moderate Buy,” with a mean price target of around $43. That implies roughly 35% upside from current levels.

Strategic Position and Growth Drivers

Supermicro has close ties with Nvidia and other major chipmakers, giving it early access to high-end GPUs. That relationship reinforces its position as a go-to supplier for large-scale AI deployments.

Reports of a potential “Make in India” AI server expansion have added another layer of investor interest, pointing to possible geographic diversification down the road.

The broader market didn’t do SMCI any favors on Thursday. The S&P 500 fell 0.28% to 6,861.89 and the Nasdaq dropped 0.31% to 22,683. Among hardware peers, Dell Technologies rose 1.95% while Hewlett Packard Enterprise fell 0.74%.

Since its IPO in 2007, Super Micro has grown 3,572%.

The Wall Street consensus price target of $43 represents roughly 35% upside from Thursday’s close of $32.16.

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