A federal judge has blocked Tennessee from enforcing its gambling laws against prediction market platform Kalshi, giving the federally regulated exchange room to continue operating while a broader legal fight unfolds.
A federal judge in Tennessee ruled that Kalshi is likely to succeed in arguing its sports event contracts qualify as swaps under federal law. The preliminary injunction prevents the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council from enforcing state betting laws against the platform while litigation continues.
The decision strengthens Kalshi’s position that its contracts fall under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, not state gaming authorities.
On February 20, U.S. District Judge Aleta A. Trauger granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction, stopping Tennessee officials from applying local sports wagering laws to its event based contracts.
Kalshi operates as a designated contract market regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The company offers event contracts that allow users to trade on outcomes across sports, politics, economics, and weather. It recorded more than $9.5 billion in trading activity in January, underscoring the platform’s scale and growing influence.
Tennessee regulators had issued cease and desist letters in early January, alleging that Kalshi’s sports markets amounted to unlicensed sports betting. State officials argued that the platform failed to comply with local licensing requirements and age protection rules.
Kalshi responded by filing a federal lawsuit, asserting that its products are financial instruments that qualify as swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act. According to the court, the outcome of a sports game can represent an occurrence under the statutory definition. The judge also accepted Kalshi’s argument that downstream economic effects tied to sports results meet the federal threshold for swap classification.
Importantly, the court noted that requiring Kalshi to comply with both federal derivatives regulation and state gaming laws could undermine the uniform framework established by Congress. This reasoning formed the basis of the federal preemption analysis.
Judge Trauger’s ruling focused heavily on the doctrine of federal preemption. If Kalshi’s contracts are legally recognized as swaps traded on a federally regulated exchange, then federal law takes priority over conflicting state gambling statutes.
The court concluded that Kalshi demonstrated a strong likelihood of success on the merits of this argument. While the ruling is preliminary and does not end the case, it clearly signals that the federal court currently views Kalshi’s legal classification claim as credible.
The broader legal landscape remains divided. Tennessee now joins New Jersey in granting Kalshi injunctive relief. In contrast, courts in Nevada and Maryland have declined similar requests. The Nevada Gaming Control Board has also pursued civil enforcement action against the platform, highlighting the fragmented national environment.
Meanwhile, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission recently reinforced its claim of exclusive jurisdiction in an appellate filing connected to a separate dispute involving Crypto.com and Nevada. Federal regulators appear intent on preserving centralized oversight of event based derivatives markets.
The Tennessee injunction adds momentum to a growing national debate over how prediction markets should be regulated in the United States.
Several states argue that sports related event contracts function as unlicensed wagers under local law. Kalshi maintains that they are federally supervised financial instruments. Ongoing cases in Ohio, New York, and Connecticut further demonstrate how unsettled the regulatory framework remains.
If more courts adopt Tennessee’s reasoning, prediction platforms could rely primarily on federal supervision rather than navigating multiple state regimes. However, appeals and further litigation could still reshape the outcome.
For now, the ruling gives Kalshi critical breathing room and strengthens its push for nationwide regulatory clarity.
In my view, this decision is more than a temporary legal win. It represents a serious test of how far federal authority extends over modern financial products tied to real world events. In my experience covering crypto and derivatives markets, regulatory clarity is everything. I found that when courts lean toward uniform federal oversight, innovation tends to accelerate.
That said, this fight is far from over. States are unlikely to step back easily, especially when sports related products resemble traditional betting. The final outcome could reshape how prediction markets grow in the United States.
The post Kalshi Wins Injunction in Tennessee Sports Case appeared first on CoinLaw.


