XRP has returned to a moment that long-term investors recognize well: compression beneath a decisive technical ceiling. After years of consolidation and volatilityXRP has returned to a moment that long-term investors recognize well: compression beneath a decisive technical ceiling. After years of consolidation and volatility

Analyst: XRP Could Resume Macro Trend to New All-Time High Once This Happens

2026/02/21 23:05
3 min read

XRP has returned to a moment that long-term investors recognize well: compression beneath a decisive technical ceiling. After years of consolidation and volatility, price now presses against a structural barrier that could determine whether the next major move expands into a full macro breakout or fades into continued range trading.

Technical analyst ChartNerd recently spotlighted this setup on X, sharing a log-scale XRP/USD chart that maps price action from 2014 through projected levels into 2028. His analysis focuses on XRP trading near $1.42 while approaching a long-standing descending resistance line that has capped rallies since the 2021 cycle peak.

The Macro Curve Structure

ChartNerd’s chart plots a green logarithmic growth curve that traces XRP’s historical expansion phases. XRP has historically respected this curved trajectory during major bull cycles, including the surge that carried the price to its all-time high of $3.84 in January 2018.

Logarithmic charts smooth percentage-based growth and better capture crypto’s exponential cycles. On this scale, XRP appears to sit near the lower boundary of its macro curve, a region that previously preceded strong upside expansions.

However, the analyst emphasizes that the curve alone does not confirm a breakout. Price must reclaim and close above the descending resistance structure to shift the broader trend.

The Descending Resistance Barrier

Since 2021, XRP has formed lower highs within a multi-year compression pattern. That descending resistance line has consistently rejected bullish momentum attempts. ChartNerd argues that XRP must decisively break above this barrier to invalidate the downtrend and reestablish a higher-high structure on the macro timeframe.

A confirmed breakout would signal renewed strength and potentially attract sidelined capital. Without that move, XRP remains structurally capped despite holding above long-term support zones.

Projecting the Long-Term Scenario

If XRP breaks resistance and respects the historical macro curve, ChartNerd projects a continuation phase that could extend into 2028. Under that scenario, he outlines the possibility of price discovery above the 2018 peak, with speculative projections reaching toward the $20 region.

Such projections depend on sustained bullish momentum, broader crypto market expansion, and favorable liquidity conditions. Analysts must treat these targets as conditional outcomes rather than guarantees.

A Critical Inflection Point

XRP now trades at a technical crossroads. A decisive breakout above descending resistance would strengthen the case for a resumed macro uptrend and new all-time highs. A rejection would reinforce the ongoing consolidation structure.

The chart presents a clear technical roadmap. The market will decide whether XRP follows it.

Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.


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