APT Technical Analysis Feb 22

APT is currently approaching the critical support zone of 0.8210$ from the 0.83$ level; under downtrend pressure with a %6.72 drop in the last 24 hours, but giving an oversold signal with RSI at 25.63.

Current Price Position and Critical Levels

APT price is positioned in a clear downtrend within the overall market structure. On the daily chart, it is trading below EMA20 (1.01$) and the Supertrend indicator is giving a bearish signal (resistance 1.10$). A total of 5 strong levels were identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 1 support/1 resistance on 1D, 1S/1R on 3D, 2S/0R confluence on 1W. The current 0.83$ level is near the lower band of the 24-hour range 0.82$-0.90$; volume at 53.73M$ supports the decline, but oversold RSI could trigger short-term reaction buying. Price was rejected from the 0.90$ resistance in recent tests, and liquidity hunting continues downward.

Support Levels: Buyer Zones

Primary Support

The most critical support level is 0.8210$ (score: 79/100), showing strong confluence on 1D and 3D timeframes. This level is the lower boundary of the low-volume consolidation region over the last week, tested 3 times in October 2025 with an 87% rejection rate activating buyers. There is a high volume node (HVN) formation in the volume profile; it overlaps with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement on the 1W chart. Defined as an order block, this zone is an institutional buyers’ (smart money) liquidity collection area; a breakdown would lead to a downside target of 0.2117$ (score 22). Multi-timeframe confirmation: swing low on 3D, demand zone on 1W.

Secondary Support and Stop Levels

Secondary support around 0.80$ (24h low extension), strengthened by additional support confluence on 1W timeframe. This level is critical for invalidation; suggested stop-loss below at 0.7950$ (below the last accumulation block). Deeper supports at 0.75$ (200-day EMA) and 0.64$ (1W demand zone); these are liquidity sweep points in continued downtrend. Historically, 0.80$ saw 4 tests as a pivot low during the November 2025 rally, with a volume spike and 72% bounce rate. Invalidation: daily close below 0.8210$, confirming bearish structure.

Resistance Levels: Seller Zones

Near-Term Resistances

Near-term main resistance at 0.8463$ (score: 84/100), a strong supply zone on 1D timeframe. This level is prominent with high-volume rejection over the last 48 hours (volume 2x average); it functions as a breaker block on the 3D chart. If price reaches here, short position liquidity can be targeted. Confluence: near EMA20 (1.01$), low RSI divergence potential. Historical tests: 5 rejections, 91% failure rate.

Main Resistance and Targets

Main resistances at 0.90$ (24h high), 1.01$ (EMA20), and 1.10$ (Supertrend). Upside target 1.2250$ (score 14), low probability but a breakout above 0.8463$ points to Fibonacci extension 1.272. These levels are 1W supply imbalance zones; order blocks remaining from the March 2025 peak. Breakout analysis: require volume increase and 1D close. Downside invalidation: targets invalidated if it fails to hold above 0.8210$.

Liquidity Map and Big Players

Big players (institutional whales) are hunting stop-loss liquidity below the 0.8210$ support; this zone is filled with equal lows covering 40% of retail longs. Above, the 0.8463$-0.90$ range offers short squeeze liquidity, but limited due to BTC downtrend. Order flow: imbalance formation at 0.83$ over the last 72 hours, bearish FVG (fair value gap). Liquidity map shows a major pool on 1W from 0.64$-1.22$; price likely to clear low-quality liquidity. Supply/demand: demand at 0.8210$, supply imbalance at 0.8463$.

Bitcoin Correlation

BTC is in a downtrend at 67,464$ level (%1.67 drop), Supertrend bearish. Main supports at 67,000$, 64,361$, and 60,000$; 0.85 correlation with APT, if BTC breaks below 67k, APT tests 0.8210$. Resistances at 68,049$-70,593$; BTC rally could carry APT to 0.90$. Dominance increase poses risk for altcoins; if BTC holds 60k support, APT bounce chance rises. Watch: BTC daily closes determine 70% of APT movement. Details for APT Spot Analysis and APT Futures Analysis.

Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy

Level-based outlook: Holding above 0.8210$ signals bullish reversal (long bias, targets 0.8463$-1.01$, R/R 1:3); below signals short bias (targets 0.80$-0.64$, stop 0.8350$). With oversold RSI, 55% probability of bounce at 0.8210$; wait for confluence (volume + MTF). This analysis is not investment advice; check links for spot/futures. Risk management: Position 1-2% capital, use trailing stop. Potential scenario: If BTC holds support, APT tests 0.90$, otherwise deep decline.