UNI Price Prediction: Targets $4.13 Recovery by March 2026 as Technical Oversold Conditions Improve

Ted Hisokawa Feb 23, 2026 13:11

Uniswap (UNI) trades at $3.46 with neutral RSI at 40.28. Technical analysts target $4.03-$4.13 recovery zone as oversold conditions improve, suggesting potential March breakout.

Uniswap (UNI) is showing signs of potential recovery after trading in oversold territory, with the token currently priced at $3.46 on February 23, 2026. Recent technical analysis suggests the decentralized exchange token could target the $4.03-$4.13 resistance zone as market conditions stabilize.

UNI Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $3.59
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $4.03-$4.13 range
• Bullish breakout level: $3.73
• Critical support: $3.14

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap

Recent analyst predictions have been consistently bullish on UNI's recovery prospects. Caroline Bishop noted on February 16 that "UNI trades at $3.55 with oversold RSI at 39.15. Technical analysts target $4.03-$4.13 recovery as Uniswap approaches key support levels with potential March breakout," setting a target of $4.13.

Ted Hisokawa followed up on February 18, observing that "UNI trades at $3.56 with neutral RSI at 40.17. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $4.10-$4.13 resistance zone within 4 weeks as oversold conditions improve." Most recently, James Ding reinforced this outlook on February 20, stating that "UNI trades at $3.38 with oversold RSI at 36.23, targeting $4.03-$4.13 recovery as technical analysts eye March breakout from current support levels."

The consensus among these analysts points to a consistent Uniswap forecast targeting the $4.13 level, representing approximately 19% upside from current levels.

UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current technical indicators present a mixed but improving picture for UNI. The RSI reading of 40.28 sits in neutral territory, having recovered from oversold conditions below 30 seen earlier this month. This suggests selling pressure may be easing.

The MACD histogram remains flat at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum is stalling but hasn't yet turned positive. UNI is trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands at position 0.48, with the upper band at $3.74 providing immediate upside resistance.

Key moving averages show UNI trading below longer-term trends, with the token at $3.46 compared to the 50-day SMA of $4.40 and 200-day SMA of $6.75. However, the price is holding near the 20-day SMA of $3.47, suggesting potential consolidation around current levels.

Critical support lies at $3.30 (immediate) and $3.14 (strong support), while resistance levels are positioned at $3.59 (immediate) and $3.73 (strong resistance). The daily ATR of $0.33 indicates moderate volatility, providing room for meaningful price movements.

Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The optimistic UNI price prediction scenario sees the token breaking above the $3.73 strong resistance level, which would confirm the technical recovery analysts have been forecasting. A successful break above this level could propel UNI toward the $4.03-$4.13 target zone that multiple analysts have identified.

Technical confirmation would come from RSI breaking above 50, indicating momentum shift from neutral to bullish territory. Additionally, a positive MACD crossover would provide further validation of the upward move. The 24-hour trading volume of $16.1 million suggests adequate liquidity to support such a move.

Bearish Scenario

The downside risk for this Uniswap forecast centers around a break below the $3.30 immediate support level. If selling pressure intensifies, UNI could test the $3.14 strong support, representing potential 9% downside from current levels.

A breakdown below $3.14 would invalidate the bullish recovery thesis and could lead to further weakness toward the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $3.20. Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness and reduced DeFi activity affecting Uniswap's trading volumes.

Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy

For investors considering UNI positions, the current price around $3.46 offers a reasonable entry point near technical support levels. A more conservative approach would involve waiting for confirmation above $3.59 resistance before entering long positions.

Stop-loss orders should be placed below the $3.14 strong support level to limit downside risk. This provides approximately 9% risk tolerance while maintaining exposure to the potential 19% upside toward the $4.13 target.

Risk management remains crucial, with position sizing appropriate for the moderate volatility evidenced by the $0.33 daily ATR. The neutral RSI reading suggests patience may be rewarded as technical conditions continue improving.

Conclusion

This UNI price prediction suggests a measured optimism for Uniswap's near-term prospects. With consistent analyst targets around $4.13 and improving technical conditions, UNI appears positioned for recovery over the coming month. However, confirmation above key resistance levels remains essential for validating this bullish outlook.

This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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