APT Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Targets $1.00 by March as Technical Indicators Signal Potential Recovery

Rongchai Wang Feb 23, 2026 13:53

Aptos (APT) trades at $0.85 with RSI at 27.53 indicating oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce toward $1.00 resistance if key support at $0.81 holds firm.

Aptos (APT) has experienced significant downward pressure, currently trading at $0.85 after a modest 3.40% daily gain. With the token now positioned in oversold territory and trading well below key moving averages, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term recovery could be on the horizon.

APT Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.92 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.95-$1.05 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.00 • Critical support: $0.81

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Aptos

While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent days, historical forecasts from mid-January 2026 projected APT reaching between $2.10 and $2.43 by the end of January, according to market analysis platforms. However, these targets proved overly optimistic as APT currently trades significantly below these levels.

According to on-chain data and technical analysis platforms, the current oversold conditions present a potential opportunity for contrarian investors, though caution remains warranted given the broader bearish momentum evident in longer-term indicators.

APT Technical Analysis Breakdown

The technical landscape for APT reveals a complex picture with both bullish and bearish signals competing for dominance.

RSI Analysis: At 27.53, APT's RSI sits firmly in oversold territory (below 30), historically indicating potential for a technical bounce. This extreme reading suggests selling pressure may be exhausted in the near term.

Moving Average Analysis: APT trades below all major moving averages, painting a bearish picture: - Price sits 2.3% below the 7-day SMA ($0.87) - 12.4% below the 20-day SMA ($0.97) - 38.4% below the 50-day SMA ($1.38) - 70.3% below the 200-day SMA ($2.87)

MACD Signals: The MACD line at -0.1452 equals its signal line, with a histogram reading of 0.0000, indicating potential momentum shift though still in bearish territory.

Bollinger Bands: APT's position at 0.21 within the Bollinger Bands suggests the token trades closer to the lower band ($0.77) than the upper band ($1.17), confirming oversold conditions.

Aptos Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In a recovery scenario, APT price prediction models point to initial resistance at $0.88, followed by stronger resistance at $0.92. A successful break above these levels could propel the Aptos forecast toward the $1.00 psychological level, representing a 17% gain from current prices.

The bullish case requires: - RSI moving above 30 to exit oversold territory - Reclaiming the 7-day SMA at $0.87 - Sustained volume above the recent average of $12.2 million

Bearish Scenario

Should the current support at $0.81 fail to hold, APT could face additional downside pressure toward the strong support zone at $0.76, representing a potential 10% decline. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward psychological support at $0.70.

The bearish case is supported by: - Trading below all major moving averages - Weak momentum indicators - Distance from key resistance levels

Should You Buy APT? Entry Strategy

For traders considering APT, the current technical setup presents both opportunity and risk. Conservative entry points include:

Primary Entry: $0.81-$0.83 range (current support zone) Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $0.85 for those betting on immediate oversold bounce Stop Loss: Below $0.76 to limit downside risk Take Profit Targets: $0.92 (first resistance), $1.00 (psychological level)

Risk management remains crucial given APT's 70% decline from its 200-day moving average. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility environment, with the daily ATR of $0.06 indicating significant intraday price swings.

Conclusion

The APT price prediction for the coming weeks hinges on the token's ability to hold current support levels and generate buying interest from oversold conditions. While the RSI at 27.53 suggests potential for a technical bounce, the broader trend remains bearish with price action below all major moving averages.

The Aptos forecast calls for a potential recovery toward $1.00 over the next month, representing the confluence of technical resistance and psychological significance. However, failure to hold support at $0.81 could extend the downtrend toward $0.76.

Traders should approach APT with caution, using proper risk management and considering the high volatility environment. The oversold conditions present opportunity, but the bearish momentum structure requires careful position management.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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