Cardano (ADA) trades at $0.26 amid bearish momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $0.28-$0.31 resistance zone as RSI shows oversold conditionsCardano (ADA) trades at $0.26 amid bearish momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $0.28-$0.31 resistance zone as RSI shows oversold conditions

ADA Price Prediction: Cardano Targets $0.28-$0.31 Recovery by March 2026

2026/02/24 19:36
4 min read

ADA Price Prediction: Cardano Targets $0.28-$0.31 Recovery by March 2026

Ted Hisokawa Feb 24, 2026 11:36

Cardano (ADA) trades at $0.26 amid bearish momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $0.28-$0.31 resistance zone as RSI shows oversold conditions near critical support.

ADA Price Prediction: Cardano Targets $0.28-$0.31 Recovery by March 2026

Cardano (ADA) continues to face selling pressure, trading at $0.26 after a 5.45% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite the recent weakness, technical indicators suggest the cryptocurrency may be positioning for a potential recovery toward key resistance levels in the coming weeks.

ADA Price Prediction Summary

Short-term target (1 week): $0.28 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.31-$0.35 range
Bullish breakout level: $0.28 • Critical support: $0.24

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Cardano

While specific analyst predictions from key opinion leaders are limited in recent days, several crypto research platforms have provided Cardano forecasts based on technical analysis.

According to Blockchain.News from late January, "Cardano (ADA) trades at $0.35 amid bearish momentum, but technical indicators suggest potential recovery to $0.45 within weeks if key resistance at $0.37 breaks." This suggests analysts were previously more optimistic before the recent decline.

MEXC News recently projected that "ADA trades at $0.28 after sharp decline, with technical analysis pointing to potential bounce toward $0.31 resistance. Analysts project $0.60-$1.00 range by late 2026." This longer-term Cardano forecast indicates potential for significant upside if current support levels hold.

ADA Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical picture for Cardano presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup for patient traders.

RSI Analysis: At 36.98, ADA's RSI sits in neutral territory but approaches oversold conditions. This level often coincides with short-term bounce opportunities, especially when combined with strong support levels.

MACD Signals: The MACD histogram shows 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled. While not yet bullish, this flattening suggests selling pressure may be diminishing.

Bollinger Bands: ADA's position at 0.18 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the price is much closer to the lower band ($0.25) than the upper band ($0.29). This extreme positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $0.27.

Moving Average Structure: The cryptocurrency trades below all major moving averages, with the 7-day and 20-day SMAs both at $0.27. A recovery above these levels would signal improving short-term momentum.

Cardano Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case for this ADA price prediction, Cardano could target $0.28 as the immediate resistance level. A break above this level would open the door for a move toward $0.31, aligning with recent analyst forecasts from MEXC News.

The technical confirmation needed includes: - RSI moving above 40 - Daily close above $0.27 (middle Bollinger Band) - MACD histogram turning positive

A successful break of $0.28 resistance could propel ADA toward the $0.31-$0.35 range, representing potential gains of 19-35% from current levels.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish scenario sees ADA testing the $0.24 support level, which represents strong support according to current technical analysis. A break below this level could expose the cryptocurrency to further downside toward $0.22-$0.20.

Risk factors include: - Overall crypto market weakness - Continued selling pressure in altcoins - Break below critical $0.24 support

Should You Buy ADA? Entry Strategy

For traders considering ADA positions, the current technical setup offers several potential entry strategies:

Conservative Entry: Wait for a daily close above $0.27 (middle Bollinger Band) with RSI confirmation above 40. This reduces risk but may miss some upside.

Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $0.26 offer risk/reward opportunities for traders willing to accept higher volatility. Place stop-losses below $0.24 support.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Given the proximity to technical support, systematic purchases between $0.24-$0.26 could prove effective for longer-term holders.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the cryptocurrency's position below all major moving averages.

Conclusion

This ADA price prediction suggests Cardano has potential for a technical bounce toward $0.28-$0.31 over the coming weeks, representing 8-19% upside from current levels. The combination of oversold technical conditions and proximity to strong support at $0.24 creates an interesting risk/reward setup.

However, traders should remain cautious given the bearish momentum and position below key moving averages. A break below $0.24 support would invalidate the bullish thesis and could lead to further downside.

This Cardano forecast is based on technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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