MP Materials (MP) Stock Rises After Q4 Earnings Beat

TLDR

• MP Materials posted Q4 EPS of $0.09, beating estimates of $0.08 (and well above the Zacks estimate of $0.04), delivering an earnings surprise of +145.23%
• Revenue came in at $52.69 million, missing the $76.06 million consensus by 11.6%
• The stock rose 2.3% on the news, trading as high as $60.29, and is up about 16.1% year-to-date
• Insiders sold 723,146 shares worth roughly $45.8 million over the past three months, including sales by the CEO and CFO
• Analyst consensus remains “Buy” with an average price target of $78.91

MP Materials (MP) climbed 2.3% on Thursday after the rare earth miner posted better-than-expected earnings for Q4 2025.

The stock hit a session high of $60.29 before settling around $60.00, compared to its prior close of $58.66. Volume came in at roughly 6.55 million, about 23% below its average daily volume.

MP Materials Corp., MP

EPS for the quarter came in at $0.09, topping the general analyst consensus of $0.08 and well above the Zacks estimate of $0.04. That put the earnings surprise at +145.23%, a number that’s hard to ignore.

A year ago, the company posted a loss of $0.12 per share, so the turnaround is worth noting. Over the last four quarters, MP has beaten EPS estimates three times.

The revenue picture was a different story, though. MP brought in $52.69 million for the quarter, missing the consensus of $76.06 million by about 11.6%. That’s also down from $60.99 million in the year-ago quarter.

The company carries a negative net margin of 50.55% and a negative return on equity of 7.69%, reflecting ongoing costs tied to its expansion plans.

Insider Activity

Insiders have been selling. CFO Ryan Corbett sold 38,146 shares at an average price of $60.00 on December 9th, reducing his stake by 19.58%. CEO James Litinsky followed in January, selling 272,600 shares at $64.17 per share, a transaction worth over $17.4 million.

In total, insiders sold 723,146 shares worth approximately $45.8 million over the past three months. Insiders now hold about 9.5% of the company.

Institutional investors, by contrast, have been adding exposure. Corient Private Wealth lifted its position by 404.4% in Q4, and Pacer Advisors increased its stake by 71.7%. Institutional ownership stands at 52.55%.

Analyst Ratings

The analyst community is broadly positive on MP. The average rating from MarketBeat is “Buy,” with a consensus price target of $78.91 — well above current trading levels.

Goldman Sachs initiated coverage in November with a “Buy” rating and a $77.00 price target. Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to “Overweight” in December, raising its target to $71.00. JPMorgan also upgraded to “Overweight” in November, though it trimmed its target slightly to $74.00.

BMO Capital Markets moved from “Market Perform” to “Outperform,” while Wall Street Zen issued the lone downgrade, cutting to “Sell” in November.

Of the analysts tracked, two have a “Strong Buy,” thirteen have a “Buy,” and one has a “Sell.”

MP stock has gained about 16.1% since the start of the year, compared to a 1.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the same period.

The Zacks consensus estimate for the coming quarter stands at $0.07 EPS on revenues of $76.36 million, with full-year 2026 estimates at $0.59 EPS on $418.47 million in revenue.

The stock’s 50-day moving average sits at $59.89, while the 200-day moving average is $64.38. Market cap stands at $10.63 billion.

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