Top Analyst: March Is the Month XRP Will Experience a Major Rally – Here’s Why

• March rally hopes rise as XRP tests key EMA
• Historical cycles suggest percentage rebound could mirror past moves
• $1.80 to $2.00 breakout may confirm bullish continuation structure

A detailed video post on X by analyst ChartNerd drew attention to XRP’s repeated reactions around its 200-week EMA and explained how those historical touchpoints have consistently shaped major percentage moves following local cycle tops.

His analysis focused on cyclical timing, structural resistance, and the pattern of relief rallies that have frequently emerged in March after XRP stabilized at this long-term moving average. XRP currently trades directly on the 200-week EMA after completing a prolonged 7-month correction that followed its breakout above the same indicator in November 2024, a move that preceded a surge to new all-time highs before momentum gradually cooled.

Sustained selling pressure eventually guided the price back toward this historically significant support zone, placing the asset at what many traders consider a decisive technical inflection point.

Historical Patterns Suggest March Relief Rally Setup

According to ChartNerd, prior cycle behavior reinforces the view that March could deliver a notable recovery bounce measured in strong percentage gains. In 2018, XRP peaked and later retraced to the 200-week EMA, where it consolidated for several weeks before producing a relief rally that temporarily restored bullish sentiment.

A comparable structure appeared after the 2021 local high, when XRP again returned to the 200-week EMA and rallied into March, although that advance ultimately formed a lower high beneath major resistance.

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ChartNerd emphasized that the current structure closely mirrors those earlier setups, as XRP corrected into late January 2026 and has now rested on the 200-week EMA for nearly four consecutive weeks while volatility compresses.

He argued that this consolidation phase increases the probability of a March rally, particularly because each prior backtest of the 200-week EMA after a local top produced a meaningful percentage rebound before the broader trend resolved.

Importantly, he identified the $1.80 to $2.00 range as the immediate upside objective should bullish momentum accelerate. This zone previously acted as firm support for more than 400 days, and after the price lost that region during the correction, it now stands as critical resistance that must be reclaimed for structural strength to return.

Why the $1.80 to $2.00 Barrier May Decide the Trend

Despite expectations for a relief move, ChartNerd cautioned that historical rallies from the 200-week EMA did not automatically confirm a lasting bottom, as both 2018 and 2022 saw XRP rally before forming lower highs and resuming downside pressure.

Therefore, a decisive break and sustained hold above $1.80 to $2.00 would represent a meaningful structural shift that could open expansion toward $2.40 to $2.70, especially if broader market conditions and Bitcoin strength provide additional momentum.

Conversely, rejection near that resistance combined with a firm breakdown below the 200-week EMA could expose deeper downside targets near $0.70, extending the corrective cycle and reinforcing the historical pattern of lower highs. As March unfolds, XRP’s behavior around these levels will likely determine whether the projected rally materializes into continuation or fades into renewed weakness.

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The post Top Analyst: March Is the Month XRP Will Experience a Major Rally – Here’s Why appeared first on 36Crypto.