COIN stock price has crawled back in the last 30 days, moving from $140 on February 12 to $196 today. It’s facing major headwinds. However, the ongoing rebound could be the start of a prolonged bull run, potentially to $300.
COIN stock price plunged from July 2025 and reached a low of $140 in February. This retreat coincided with the broader crypto market crash, which dragged its transaction volume and revenue.
Most recently, the decline happened as investors anticipated the Iran war and its implications in the crypto market.
A prolonged war will lead to higher inflation, which would make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year.
On the positive side, there is a possibility that the war will end soon as Trump is facing substantial pressure. The most recent polling data showed that most Americans oppose the war.
If the war ends, the biggest market risk will be resolved, boosting Bitcoin and other altcoins. This hope likely explains why Bitcoin ETF inflows have continued and its price has jumped to $70,000.
A Bitcoin recovery will be bullish for the COIN stock because of its large holdings. Data shows that the company holds 15,389 coins valued at over $1 billion. Higher crypto prices will also lead to more volume and higher revenues this year.
Coinbase share price will likely do well because of the ongoing stablecoin growth. The most recent numbers showed that the stablecoin segment is the fastest-growing one in its business.
Its stablecoin revenue jumped to $1.38 billion in 2025 from $910 million a year earlier. It jumped from $225 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 to $364 million in Q4’25.
This business comes from its partnership with Circle, the creator of the USDC stablecoin. This partnership means that it collects all the interest of USDC in its platform.
Data shows that the USDC stablecoin supply has jumped to nearly $80 billion. At the same time, its adjusted volume rose to $5.9 trillion in the last 30 days.
The soaring USDC volume, especially in Coinbase, together with the relatively higher interest rates, will help to push its revenue higher.
Coinbase’s stock price may keep rising in the near term after the company expanded into the tokenized stocks and ETF industry.
In a statement this week, the company announced that it will launch its tokenized futures products to European customers. It will launch perpetual-style and dated contracts, allowing customers to trade these stocks on margin.
Launching tokenized stocks and indices is a major milestone that makes its business similar to that of Robinhood. As a result, since stocks are more stable than cryptocurrencies, the launch will help it to have consistent volume. It will also make it a one-stop shop for all trading.
Meanwhile, the three-day chart shows that the COIN stock price has dropped from a record high of $443 in July last year to $196 today.
It has moved above the 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a sign that bulls are gaining momentum. It is also about to turn the Supertrend indicator from red to green, which would confirm a bullish breakout.
Most importantly, it has formed a large triple-bottom pattern at $145. That’s its lowest swing in September 2024, April 2025, and February this year.
Its neckline is at $443, its highest point in July last year. A triple-bottom pattern signals that bears are afraid of shorting below that level.
COIN stock price chart | Source: TradingView
Therefore, the stock will likely continue rising, potentially to the key psychological level at $300. That’s about 55% above the current level.
On the flip side, a drop below the triple-bottom point at $145 will invalidate the bullish outlook.
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